Football · Hungary NB III · 17/10, 13:00

Prediction: Gyulai Termal vs Monori SE

Team pages: Gyulai Termal · Monori SE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.67Total

Gyulai Termal2.5

Monori SE1.17

1X2

66% 19% 15%

Gyulai Termal Draw Monori SE

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Gyulai Termal 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Monori SE 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDLWWDWDDL

Head-to-head

Gyulai Termal 0–3 Monori SE (3 last)

Gyulai Termal1-2Monori SE
Monori SE2-1Gyulai Termal
Monori SE1-0Gyulai Termal

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gyulai Termal 1601 · Monori SE 1513

	Gyulai Termal	Draw	Monori SE
Our model	65%	19%	15%
Market	66%	19%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.67 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gyulai Termal (rating 1601 vs 1513).
H2H favours Monori SE: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gyulai Termal	Monori SE
Goals for / against (FT)	3.6 / 0.9	2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.4	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	80/10/10%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.5	2.2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 1	4.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.36

X4.75

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:32 +16’	1.36	4.75	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gyulai Termal 0–0–3 Monori SE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Hungary NB III	Gyulai Termal	1-2 HT 0-0	Monori SE
26/10/25 Hungary NB III	Monori SE	2-1 HT 2-0	Gyulai Termal
16/03/25 Hungary NB III	Monori SE	1-0 HT 0-0	Gyulai Termal

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	11	11	0	0	39	9	33
2	III Keruleti TUE	11	8	1	2	16	5	25
3	ESMTK	10	6	3	1	27	10	21
4	Ujpest II	11	5	3	3	28	18	18
5	Vasas SC II	11	5	2	4	23	12	17
6	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	10	4	4	2	19	14	16
7	FC Dabas	11	4	2	5	14	25	14
8	Csepel	11	3	5	3	21	17	14
9	Monori SE	11	3	5	3	21	19	14
10	Szolnoki Mav FC	11	3	5	3	24	25	14
11	Bekescsabai Elore SE	11	3	4	4	16	15	13
12	Kispest Honved II	10	3	2	5	18	15	11
13	Sandorfalvi SK	11	3	1	7	8	28	10
14	Hodmezovasarhelyi	11	1	5	5	12	23	8
15	BKV Elore SC	10	1	1	8	7	36	4
16	Szegedi VSE	11	0	3	8	13	35	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gyulai Termal	Monori SE
Ujpest II	2-1 W	2-2 D
Szolnoki Mav FC	4-3 W	4-4 D
Kispest Honved II	3-2 W	1-1 D
Szegedi VSE	4-1 W	3-2 W
FC Dabas	5-0 W	2-3 L
Bekescsabai Elore SE	2-0 W	0-2 L
BKV Elore SC	4-2 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Gyulai Termal (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gyulai Termal

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	0-0	2-1	1	4	W
03/10	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	2-1	4-3	–	–	W
26/09	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	1-2	3-2	11	10	W
19/09	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
05/09	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	2-0	5-0	6	4	W
30/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	2-0	4-0	1	4	W
26/08	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
12/08	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	2-1	4-2	10	5	W
08/08	Sandorfalvi SK Hungary NB III	3-0	7-0	4	2	W

Monori SE

LDLWWDWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-2	7	3	L
03/10	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	4	3	D
19/09	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	1-2	4-4	–	–	D
05/09	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	0-1	3-1	7	5	W
30/08	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
26/08	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	1-0	4-1	5	5	W
15/08	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	0-2	3-2	–	–	W
12/08	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	1-2	2-3	3	6	L
08/08	Csepel Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
26/07	ESMTK Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gyulai Termal vs Monori SE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gyulai Termal win (66%). Probabilities: Gyulai Termal 66%, draw 19%, Monori SE 15%.

How many goals are expected in Gyulai Termal vs Monori SE?

The model expects 3.67 goals (Gyulai Termal 2.5 · Monori SE 1.17), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Gyulai Termal vs Monori SE?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.