Football · Hungary NB III · 03/10, 11:00

Prediction: Ujpest II vs Monori SE

Team pages: Ujpest II · Monori SE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.92Total

Ujpest II2.11

Monori SE1.81

1X2

44% 23% 32%

Ujpest II Draw Monori SE

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Ujpest II 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWDLWDWWLW

Monori SE 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLLDLWWDWD

Head-to-head

Ujpest II 0–3 Monori SE (3 last)

Ujpest II0-1Monori SE
Ujpest II1-3Monori SE
Ujpest II0-2Monori SE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ujpest II 1532 · Monori SE 1480

	Ujpest II	Draw	Monori SE
Our model	45%	22%	33%
Market	44%	24%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.92 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ujpest II (rating 1532 vs 1480).
H2H favours Monori SE: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ujpest II	Monori SE
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.6	2.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	11/22/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.3	2.2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.2	5.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.70

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:49 +20’	2.05	3.70	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ujpest II 0–0–3 Monori SE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/07/25 Europe Friendlies	Ujpest II	0-1 HT 0-1	Monori SE
30/08/20 Hungary NB III	Ujpest II	1-3 HT 1-2	Monori SE
21/05/17 Hungary NB III	Ujpest II	0-2 HT 0-2	Monori SE

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	9	9	0	0	33	5	27
2	III Keruleti TUE	9	8	0	1	15	3	24
3	Ujpest II	9	5	2	2	25	14	17
4	ESMTK	8	4	3	1	17	9	15
5	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	9	4	3	2	18	13	15
6	Vasas SC II	9	4	2	3	20	11	14
7	Csepel	9	3	4	2	20	15	13
8	Monori SE	9	3	4	2	19	15	13
9	Szolnoki Mav FC	9	3	4	2	20	20	13
10	FC Dabas	8	3	1	4	12	18	10
11	Kispest Honved II	9	2	2	5	17	15	8
12	Bekescsabai Elore SE	8	1	4	3	10	14	7
13	Hodmezovasarhelyi	9	1	3	5	10	21	6
14	BKV Elore SC	8	1	1	6	7	29	4
15	Sandorfalvi SK	9	1	1	7	6	28	4
16	Szegedi VSE	9	0	2	7	11	30	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ujpest II	Monori SE
Szolnoki Mav FC	2-1 W	4-4 D
Kispest Honved II	0-3 L	1-1 D
Szegedi VSE	6-1 W	3-2 W
FC Dabas	2-1 W	2-3 L
BKV Elore SC	6-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ujpest II (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ujpest II

LWDLWDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	0-0	2-1	9	7	W
20/09	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	4	4	L
06/09	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	3-1	6-1	4	3	W
30/08	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	2-1	2-1	5	4	W
26/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
16/08	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	1-2	5-3	5	4	W
12/08	Sandorfalvi SK Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-2	5	7	D
26/07	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	2-0	6-0	–	–	W
24/05	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	0-2	1-2	–	–	L

Monori SE

DLLDLWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	1-2	4-4	–	–	D
05/09	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	0-1	3-1	7	5	W
30/08	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
26/08	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	1-0	4-1	5	5	W
15/08	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	–	3-2	–	–	W
12/08	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	1-2	2-3	3	6	L
08/08	Csepel Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
26/07	ESMTK Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
07/06	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB III	1-2	1-3	5	8	L
31/05	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	3	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ujpest II vs Monori SE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ujpest II win (44%). Probabilities: Ujpest II 44%, draw 23%, Monori SE 32%.

How many goals are expected in Ujpest II vs Monori SE?

The model expects 3.92 goals (Ujpest II 2.11 · Monori SE 1.81), with a 57% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ujpest II vs Monori SE?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.