Football · Hungary NB III · 17/10, 12:00

Prediction: Vasas SC II vs Bekescsabai Elore SE

Team pages: Vasas SC II · Bekescsabai Elore SE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

Vasas SC II1.89

Bekescsabai Elore SE1.26

1X2

51% 24% 25%

Vasas SC II Draw Bekescsabai Elore SE

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Vasas SC II 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Bekescsabai Elore SE 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLLLDDWWLW

Head-to-head

Vasas SC II 0–1 Bekescsabai Elore SE (1 last)

Bekescsabai Elore SE2-1Vasas SC II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vasas SC II 1524 · Bekescsabai Elore SE 1508

	Vasas SC II	Draw	Bekescsabai Elore SE
Our model	51%	24%	24%
Market	52%	23%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vasas SC II	Bekescsabai Elore SE
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.1	1.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 6.3	2.2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.80

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
15:32 +10’	1.73	3.80	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vasas SC II 0–0–1 Bekescsabai Elore SE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/05/24 Hungary NB III	Bekescsabai Elore SE	2-1 HT 0-0	Vasas SC II

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	11	11	0	0	39	9	33
2	III Keruleti TUE	11	8	1	2	16	5	25
3	ESMTK	10	6	3	1	27	10	21
4	Ujpest II	11	5	3	3	28	18	18
5	Vasas SC II	11	5	2	4	23	12	17
6	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	10	4	4	2	19	14	16
7	FC Dabas	11	4	2	5	14	25	14
8	Csepel	11	3	5	3	21	17	14
9	Monori SE	11	3	5	3	21	19	14
10	Szolnoki Mav FC	11	3	5	3	24	25	14
11	Bekescsabai Elore SE	11	3	4	4	16	15	13
12	Kispest Honved II	10	3	2	5	18	15	11
13	Sandorfalvi SK	11	3	1	7	8	28	10
14	Hodmezovasarhelyi	11	1	5	5	12	23	8
15	BKV Elore SC	10	1	1	8	7	36	4
16	Szegedi VSE	11	0	3	8	13	35	3

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vasas SC II	Bekescsabai Elore SE
Sandorfalvi SK	0-1 L	0-1 L
BKV Elore SC	3-0 W	4-0 W
Hodmezovasarhelyi	2-0 W	3-1 W
Csepel	6-0 W	2-2 D
ESMTK	0-2 L	3-3 D
III Keruleti TUE	3-0 W	0-2 L
Gyulai Termal	0-1 L	0-2 L
Ujpest II	3-5 L	2-2 D
Szolnoki Mav FC	2-2 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Vasas SC II (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vasas SC II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Sandorfalvi SK Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
03/10	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	0-0	3-0	13	5	W
26/09	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
20/09	Csepel Hungary NB III	3-0	6-0	3	4	W
06/09	ESMTK Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
30/08	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	4	3	W
26/08	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
19/08	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
16/08	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	2-1	3-5	–	–	L
08/08	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	–	–	D

Bekescsabai Elore SE

DLLLDDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Monori SE Hungary NB III	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
03/10	Sandorfalvi SK Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
27/09	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	8	2	W
19/09	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	1-0	3-1	7	4	W
05/09	Csepel Hungary NB III	1-2	2-2	2	0	D
29/08	ESMTK Hungary NB III	1-1	3-3	–	–	D
26/08	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	8	5	L
15/08	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
12/08	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
08/08	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	2	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vasas SC II vs Bekescsabai Elore SE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vasas SC II win (51%). Probabilities: Vasas SC II 51%, draw 24%, Bekescsabai Elore SE 25%.

How many goals are expected in Vasas SC II vs Bekescsabai Elore SE?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Vasas SC II 1.89 · Bekescsabai Elore SE 1.26), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Vasas SC II vs Bekescsabai Elore SE?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.