Football · Hungary NB III · 17/10, 13:00

Prediction: Szegedi VSE vs Hodmezovasarhelyi

Team pages: Szegedi VSE · Hodmezovasarhelyi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

Szegedi VSE1.51

Hodmezovasarhelyi2.06

1X2

28% 23% 50%

Szegedi VSE Draw Hodmezovasarhelyi

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Szegedi VSE 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLDLLLLD

Hodmezovasarhelyi 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DLDLDWLLDD

Head-to-head

Szegedi VSE 1–1–0 Hodmezovasarhelyi (2 last)

Szegedi VSE1-1Hodmezovasarhelyi
Hodmezovasarhelyi1-2Szegedi VSE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Szegedi VSE 1391 · Hodmezovasarhelyi 1458

	Szegedi VSE	Draw	Hodmezovasarhelyi
Our model	27%	23%	50%
Market	28%	22%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hodmezovasarhelyi (rating 1391 vs 1458).
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Szegedi VSE	Hodmezovasarhelyi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 3.4	1.2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.6	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.5	2.7 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.2	3.7 / 1

Odds Bet365

13.25

X4.00

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.98

2 (-0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:38 +10’	3.25	4.00	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Szegedi VSE 1–1–0 Hodmezovasarhelyi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Hungary NB III	Szegedi VSE	1-1 HT 0-1	Hodmezovasarhelyi
28/09/25 Hungary NB III	Hodmezovasarhelyi	1-2 HT 0-2	Szegedi VSE

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	11	11	0	0	39	9	33
2	III Keruleti TUE	11	8	1	2	16	5	25
3	ESMTK	10	6	3	1	27	10	21
4	Ujpest II	11	5	3	3	28	18	18
5	Vasas SC II	11	5	2	4	23	12	17
6	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	10	4	4	2	19	14	16
7	FC Dabas	11	4	2	5	14	25	14
8	Csepel	11	3	5	3	21	17	14
9	Monori SE	11	3	5	3	21	19	14
10	Szolnoki Mav FC	11	3	5	3	24	25	14
11	Bekescsabai Elore SE	11	3	4	4	16	15	13
12	Kispest Honved II	10	3	2	5	18	15	11
13	Sandorfalvi SK	11	3	1	7	8	28	10
14	Hodmezovasarhelyi	11	1	5	5	12	23	8
15	BKV Elore SC	10	1	1	8	7	36	4
16	Szegedi VSE	11	0	3	8	13	35	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Szegedi VSE	Hodmezovasarhelyi
Csepel	1-1 D	1-1 D
ESMTK	1-4 L	2-2 D
III Keruleti TUE	0-1 L	0-3 L
Monori SE	2-3 L	1-4 L
Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	1-2 L	1-1 D
FC Dabas	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 5 L	0 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Hodmezovasarhelyi (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Szegedi VSE

LLLLDLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Csepel Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
03/10	ESMTK Hungary NB III	0-2	1-4	4	2	L
26/09	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	11	3	L
19/09	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	0-2	1-4	–	–	L
06/09	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	1-3	1-6	5	3	L
29/08	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	0-2	3-3	1	6	D
26/08	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	0-4	1-8	5	1	L
15/08	Monori SE Hungary NB III	2-0	2-3	–	–	L
12/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
08/08	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	–	–	L

Hodmezovasarhelyi

DLDLDWLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
04/10	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
26/09	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
19/09	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	0-1	1-3	3	4	L
05/09	Sandorfalvi SK Hungary NB III	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
30/08	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	1-0	2-2	4	5	D
26/08	Monori SE Hungary NB III	0-1	1-4	4	5	L
15/08	Csepel Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
12/08	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
09/08	ESMTK Hungary NB III	2-1	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Szegedi VSE vs Hodmezovasarhelyi?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hodmezovasarhelyi win (50%). Probabilities: Szegedi VSE 28%, draw 23%, Hodmezovasarhelyi 50%.

How many goals are expected in Szegedi VSE vs Hodmezovasarhelyi?

The model expects 3.57 goals (Szegedi VSE 1.51 · Hodmezovasarhelyi 2.06), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Szegedi VSE vs Hodmezovasarhelyi?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.