Football · Hungary NB III · 03/10, 11:00

Prediction: Vasas SC II vs BKV Elore SC

Team pages: Vasas SC II · BKV Elore SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.38Total

Vasas SC II3.19

BKV Elore SC1.19

1X2

76% 14% 10%

Vasas SC II Draw BKV Elore SC

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

3-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Vasas SC II 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDDLWLWLWW

BKV Elore SC 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLDLWL

Head-to-head

Vasas SC II 4–1–1 BKV Elore SC (6 last)

BKV Elore SC1-1Vasas SC II
Vasas SC II6-2BKV Elore SC
Vasas SC II2-1BKV Elore SC
BKV Elore SC0-1Vasas SC II
BKV Elore SC4-3Vasas SC II
Vasas SC II2-1BKV Elore SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vasas SC II 1528 · BKV Elore SC 1414

	Vasas SC II	Draw	BKV Elore SC
Our model	76%	14%	10%
Market	76%	14%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 4.38 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vasas SC II (rating 1528 vs 1414).
H2H favours Vasas SC II: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vasas SC II	BKV Elore SC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.5	0.9 / 3.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.6	0.3 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.4	2.1 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.20

X6.50

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.80

2 (+2)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 41.85

Under 41.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.20 → 1.20	Bet365 1.20
X	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
2	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:49 +20’	1.20	6.50	9.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vasas SC II 4–1–1 BKV Elore SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Hungary NB III	BKV Elore SC	1-1 HT 0-1	Vasas SC II
17/08/25 Hungary NB III	Vasas SC II	6-2 HT 0-1	BKV Elore SC
18/05/25 Hungary NB III	Vasas SC II	2-1 HT 1-1	BKV Elore SC
03/11/24 Hungary NB III	BKV Elore SC	0-1 HT 0-1	Vasas SC II
12/05/24 Hungary NB III	BKV Elore SC	4-3 HT 1-1	Vasas SC II
29/10/23 Hungary NB III	Vasas SC II	2-1 HT 0-0	BKV Elore SC

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	9	9	0	0	33	5	27
2	III Keruleti TUE	9	8	0	1	15	3	24
3	Ujpest II	9	5	2	2	25	14	17
4	ESMTK	8	4	3	1	17	9	15
5	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	9	4	3	2	18	13	15
6	Vasas SC II	9	4	2	3	20	11	14
7	Csepel	9	3	4	2	20	15	13
8	Monori SE	9	3	4	2	19	15	13
9	Szolnoki Mav FC	9	3	4	2	20	20	13
10	FC Dabas	8	3	1	4	12	18	10
11	Kispest Honved II	9	2	2	5	17	15	8
12	Bekescsabai Elore SE	8	1	4	3	10	14	7
13	Hodmezovasarhelyi	9	1	3	5	10	21	6
14	BKV Elore SC	8	1	1	6	7	29	4
15	Sandorfalvi SK	9	1	1	7	6	28	4
16	Szegedi VSE	9	0	2	7	11	30	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vasas SC II	BKV Elore SC
Hodmezovasarhelyi	2-0 W	2-2 D
ESMTK	0-2 L	0-3 L
III Keruleti TUE	3-0 W	0-2 L
Gyulai Termal	0-1 L	2-4 L
Ujpest II	3-5 L	0-6 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Vasas SC II (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vasas SC II

DDDLWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
20/09	Csepel Hungary NB III	3-0	6-0	3	4	W
06/09	ESMTK Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
30/08	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	4	3	W
26/08	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
19/08	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
16/08	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	2-1	3-5	1	4	L
08/08	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
25/07	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
17/05	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	2-2	4-4	4	4	D

BKV Elore SC

WLLLLLDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-4	8	2	L
19/09	Sandorfalvi SK Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	Monori SE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-3	3	5	L
30/08	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	7	5	D
26/08	Csepel FC Hungary NB III	0-3	1-9	2	5	L
16/08	ESMTK Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	6	3	L
12/08	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	1-2	2-4	1	5	L
09/08	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
26/07	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	0-2	0-6	–	–	L
24/05	Monori SE Hungary NB III	0-0	2-1	8	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vasas SC II vs BKV Elore SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vasas SC II win (76%). Probabilities: Vasas SC II 76%, draw 14%, BKV Elore SC 10%.

How many goals are expected in Vasas SC II vs BKV Elore SC?

The model expects 4.38 goals (Vasas SC II 3.19 · BKV Elore SC 1.19), with a 53% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Vasas SC II vs BKV Elore SC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.