Football · Hungary NB III · 17/10, 13:00

Prediction: MTE 1904 vs Györi ETO II

Team pages: MTE 1904 · Györi ETO II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

MTE 19041.8

Györi ETO II1.13

1X2

52% 25% 23%

MTE 1904 Draw Györi ETO II

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

MTE 1904 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

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Györi ETO II 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWLDDWLL

Head-to-head

MTE 1904 5–1 Györi ETO II (6 last)

MTE 19042-3Györi ETO II
Györi ETO II0-2MTE 1904
Györi ETO II1-3MTE 1904
MTE 19042-0Györi ETO II
MTE 19046-0Györi ETO II
Györi ETO II1-3MTE 1904

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MTE 1904 1486 · Györi ETO II 1489

	MTE 1904	Draw	Györi ETO II
Our model	52%	25%	23%
Market	53%	24%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours MTE 1904: 5-0-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MTE 1904	Györi ETO II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.3	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.2	1.9 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.75

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:35 +12’	1.70	3.75	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MTE 1904 5–0–1 Györi ETO II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Hungary NB III	MTE 1904	2-3 HT 1-1	Györi ETO II
05/10/25 Hungary NB III	Györi ETO II	0-2 HT 0-1	MTE 1904
18/04/25 Hungary NB III	Györi ETO II	1-3 HT 1-1	MTE 1904
06/10/24 Hungary NB III	MTE 1904	2-0 HT 1-0	Györi ETO II
30/04/22 Hungary NB III	MTE 1904	6-0 HT 4-0	Györi ETO II
24/10/21 Hungary NB III	Györi ETO II	1-3 HT 0-2	MTE 1904

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dorogi FC	11	8	2	1	31	9	26
2	FC Tatabanya	11	8	2	1	28	8	26
3	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	11	7	4	0	31	10	25
4	Sarisapi BSE	11	6	2	3	18	17	20
5	Bicskei TC	11	6	0	5	26	23	18
6	SC Sopron	11	5	3	3	18	13	18
7	Puskas Academy II	11	5	1	5	24	21	16
8	MTE 1904	11	4	4	3	16	13	16
9	Komarom VSE	11	4	3	4	16	18	15
10	Györi ETO II	11	4	2	5	16	14	14
11	Zalaegerszegi TE II	11	4	1	6	18	21	13
12	Veszprem FC	11	3	4	4	19	22	13
13	Papai Perutz	11	3	2	6	9	21	11
14	Kiraly SZE	11	1	4	6	13	24	7
15	Balatonalmadi SE	11	1	2	8	10	33	5
16	1908 SZAC Budapest	11	0	2	9	6	32	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MTE 1904	Györi ETO II
Dorogi FC	0-1 L	1-2 L
Papai Perutz	0-0 D	1-2 L
Zalaegerszegi TE II	1-3 L	3-1 W
Komarom VSE	0-0 D	1-1 D
1908 SZAC Budapest	5-1 W	0-0 D
Veszprem FC	1-1 D	2-3 L
Balatonalmadi SE	1-0 W	2-0 W
Kiraly SZE	3-2 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MTE 1904

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
03/10	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	1-3	1-4	7	1	L
27/09	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
19/09	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
05/09	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
29/08	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
26/08	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	1-0	5-1	6	5	W
15/08	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
12/08	Balatonalmadi SE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III	0-1	3-2	4	2	W

Györi ETO II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	7	3	L
03/10	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	0-0	1-2	5	1	L
26/09	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	0-0	3-1	1	4	W
19/09	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
06/09	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	13	2	D
29/08	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	0-1	2-3	9	4	L
26/08	Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	1	1	W
16/08	Balatonalmadi SE Hungary NB III	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
12/08	SC Sopron Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
08/08	Sarisapi BSE Hungary NB III	2-2	2-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MTE 1904 vs Györi ETO II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MTE 1904 win (52%). Probabilities: MTE 1904 52%, draw 25%, Györi ETO II 23%.

How many goals are expected in MTE 1904 vs Györi ETO II?

The model expects 2.94 goals (MTE 1904 1.8 · Györi ETO II 1.13), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in MTE 1904 vs Györi ETO II?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.