Football · Hungary NB III · 15/08, 17:30
Prediction: Komarom VSE vs Papai Perutz
Team pages: Komarom VSE · Papai Perutz
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.75Total
Komarom VSE2.65
Papai Perutz1.1
1X2
Komarom VSE
Draw
Papai Perutz
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Komarom VSE
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Papai Perutz
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Komarom VSE
4–0
Papai Perutz
(4 last)
- Komarom VSE8-2Papai Perutz
- Papai Perutz0-2Komarom VSE
- Komarom VSE6-4Papai Perutz
- Komarom VSE2-1Papai Perutz
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Komarom VSE 1579 · Papai Perutz 1452
| Komarom VSE | Draw | Papai Perutz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 18% | 13% |
| Market | 69% | 18% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.75 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Komarom VSE (rating 1579 vs 1452).
- H2H favours Komarom VSE: 4-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Komarom VSE | Papai Perutz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 1.5 | 1.1 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.2 | 1.8 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 5 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Komarom VSE 4–0–0 Papai Perutz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Hungary NB III | Komarom VSE | 8-2 HT 1-2 | Papai Perutz |
| 05/10/25 Hungary NB III | Papai Perutz | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Komarom VSE |
| 02/08/25 Hungary Cup | Komarom VSE | 6-4 HT 1-2 | Papai Perutz |
| 14/04/21 Hungary NB III | Komarom VSE | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Papai Perutz |
Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North West
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MTE 1904 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Dorogi FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Komarom VSE | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | SC Sopron | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | FC Tatabanya | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Kiraly SZE | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Papai Perutz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Veszprem FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 10 | Györi ETO II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 11 | Bicskei TC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 12 | Zalaegerszegi TE II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | Sarisapi BSE | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 14 | 1908 SZAC Budapest | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 15 | Puskas Academy II | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 | Balatonalmadi SE | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Komarom VSE | Papai Perutz |
|---|---|---|
| Puskas Academy II | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| 1908 SZAC Budapest | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Veszprem FC | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Komarom VSE
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III |
2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | 1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Gyirmot SE Hungary NB III |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Györi ETO II Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Dorogi FC Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Bicskei TC Hungary NB III |
3-1 | 4-3 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Veszprem FC Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Papai Perutz Hungary NB III |
1-2 | 8-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Zsambeki SK Hungary NB III |
3-0 | 6-1 | – | – | W |
Papai Perutz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Veszprem FC Hungary NB III |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 08/08 | 1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 11 | W |
| 25/07 | Kiraly SE Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 17/05 | Ujpest II Hungary NB III |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Budaorsi SC Hungary NB III |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 30/04 | Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | SC Sopron Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Komarom VSE Hungary NB III |
2-1 | 2-8 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Balatonfuredi FC Hungary NB III |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Komarom VSE vs Papai Perutz?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Komarom VSE win (69%). Probabilities: Komarom VSE 69%, draw 18%, Papai Perutz 13%.
How many goals are expected in Komarom VSE vs Papai Perutz?
The model expects 3.75 goals (Komarom VSE 2.65 · Papai Perutz 1.1), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Komarom VSE vs Papai Perutz?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.