Football · Hungary NB III · 17/10, 17:00

Prediction: Dorogi FC vs Bicskei TC

Team pages: Dorogi FC · Bicskei TC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.36Total

Dorogi FC2.15

Bicskei TC1.21

1X2

58% 22% 20%

Dorogi FC Draw Bicskei TC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Dorogi FC 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWWWDW

Bicskei TC 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWWLLW

Head-to-head

Dorogi FC 3–2–1 Bicskei TC (6 last)

Bicskei TC0-0Dorogi FC
Dorogi FC2-1Bicskei TC
Bicskei TC1-0Dorogi FC
Dorogi FC2-1Bicskei TC
Bicskei TC2-3Dorogi FC
Dorogi FC1-1Bicskei TC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dorogi FC 1587 · Bicskei TC 1513

	Dorogi FC	Draw	Bicskei TC
Our model	58%	22%	20%
Market	58%	22%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dorogi FC (rating 1587 vs 1513).
H2H favours Dorogi FC: 3-2-1.
High corners: 15.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dorogi FC	Bicskei TC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 0.8	2.4 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.5	1.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 7	3.2 / 8.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.4	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.55

X4.00

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.90

2 (+1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:53 +5’	1.55	4.00	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dorogi FC 3–2–1 Bicskei TC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Hungary NB III	Bicskei TC	0-0 HT 0-0	Dorogi FC
06/09/25 Hungary NB III	Dorogi FC	2-1 HT 1-0	Bicskei TC
02/03/25 Hungary NB III	Bicskei TC	1-0 HT 1-0	Dorogi FC
11/08/24 Hungary NB III	Dorogi FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Bicskei TC
24/03/24 Hungary NB III	Bicskei TC	2-3 HT 1-3	Dorogi FC
03/09/23 Hungary NB III	Dorogi FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Bicskei TC

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dorogi FC	11	8	2	1	31	9	26
2	FC Tatabanya	11	8	2	1	28	8	26
3	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	11	7	4	0	31	10	25
4	Sarisapi BSE	12	6	2	4	18	18	20
5	MTE 1904	12	5	4	3	19	13	19
6	Bicskei TC	11	6	0	5	26	23	18
7	SC Sopron	12	5	3	4	19	16	18
8	Komarom VSE	12	5	3	4	17	18	18
9	Puskas Academy II	11	5	1	5	24	21	16
10	Zalaegerszegi TE II	12	5	1	6	21	22	16
11	Györi ETO II	12	4	2	6	16	17	14
12	Veszprem FC	12	3	4	5	20	25	13
13	Papai Perutz	11	3	2	6	9	21	11
14	Kiraly SZE	12	2	4	6	16	25	10
15	Balatonalmadi SE	11	1	2	8	10	33	5
16	1908 SZAC Budapest	11	0	2	9	6	32	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dorogi FC	Bicskei TC
Papai Perutz	2-1 W	2-0 W
Zalaegerszegi TE II	2-4 L	1-3 L
Komarom VSE	1-0 W	4-5 L
1908 SZAC Budapest	7-0 W	2-0 W
Kiraly SZE	0-0 D	3-1 W
Veszprem FC	6-0 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Dorogi FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dorogi FC

WDWWLWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Györi ETO II Hungary NB III	1-1	2-1	2	3	W
04/10	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III	2-1	2-2	7	8	D
27/09	MTE 1904 Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
19/09	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
05/09	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	1-1	2-1	13	3	W
29/08	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	0-2	2-4	–	–	L
26/08	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	1	9	W
16/08	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	2-0	7-0	–	–	W
12/08	Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
08/08	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	3-0	6-0	16	4	W

Bicskei TC

LLLWWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	9	5	W
03/10	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
26/09	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	1-4	4-5	6	2	L
20/09	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	8	3	W
05/09	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	2-1	3-2	12	8	W
29/08	Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
26/08	Balatonalmadi SE Hungary NB III	1-1	4-2	–	–	W
15/08	Sarisapi BSE Hungary NB III	2-1	2-3	–	–	L
12/08	FC Tatabanya Hungary NB III	0-0	1-3	6	3	L
08/08	SC Sopron Hungary NB III	2-1	2-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dorogi FC vs Bicskei TC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dorogi FC win (58%). Probabilities: Dorogi FC 58%, draw 22%, Bicskei TC 20%.

How many goals are expected in Dorogi FC vs Bicskei TC?

The model expects 3.36 goals (Dorogi FC 2.15 · Bicskei TC 1.21), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dorogi FC vs Bicskei TC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.