Football · Hungary NB III · 19/09, 16:00

Prediction: Veszprem FC vs FC Tatabanya

Team pages: Veszprem FC · FC Tatabanya

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.32Total

Veszprem FC1.05

FC Tatabanya2.27

1X2

16% 21% 64%

Veszprem FC Draw FC Tatabanya

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-2 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Veszprem FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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FC Tatabanya 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Veszprem FC 2–2–2 FC Tatabanya (6 last)

Veszprem FC1-2FC Tatabanya
FC Tatabanya1-0Veszprem FC
Veszprem FC3-2FC Tatabanya
FC Tatabanya2-2Veszprem FC
FC Tatabanya0-0Veszprem FC
FC Tatabanya1-2Veszprem FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Veszprem FC 1457 · FC Tatabanya 1561

	Veszprem FC	Draw	FC Tatabanya
Our model	15%	21%	64%
Market	16%	21%	64%

Estimated total (ours) 3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Tatabanya (rating 1457 vs 1561).
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Veszprem FC	FC Tatabanya
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.5	2.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.1	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.9	2.5 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.4	5.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

15.75

X4.33

21.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.95

2 (-1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
04:47 +5’	5.75	4.33	1.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Veszprem FC 2–2–2 FC Tatabanya

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Hungary NB III	Veszprem FC	1-2 HT 0-1	FC Tatabanya
28/09/25 Hungary NB III	FC Tatabanya	1-0 HT 0-0	Veszprem FC
28/04/24 Hungary NB III	Veszprem FC	3-2 HT 1-0	FC Tatabanya
15/10/23 Hungary NB III	FC Tatabanya	2-2 HT 1-2	Veszprem FC
26/11/22 Hungary NB III	FC Tatabanya	0-0 HT 0-0	Veszprem FC
16/10/21 Hungary NB III	FC Tatabanya	1-2 HT 0-1	Veszprem FC

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	7	6	1	0	23	6	19
2	Dorogi FC	7	5	1	1	22	6	16
3	FC Tatabanya	7	4	2	1	18	6	14
4	MTE 1904	7	4	2	1	14	7	14
5	Bicskei TC	7	4	0	3	17	15	12
6	Sarisapi BSE	7	4	0	3	10	13	12
7	Komarom VSE	7	3	2	2	10	8	11
8	Györi ETO II	7	3	1	3	10	8	10
9	Puskas Academy II	7	3	0	4	14	13	9
10	Zalaegerszegi TE II	7	3	0	4	13	13	9
11	SC Sopron	7	2	2	3	8	10	8
12	Veszprem FC	7	2	2	3	12	18	8
13	Papai Perutz	7	2	1	4	7	14	7
14	Kiraly SZE	7	1	2	4	6	13	5
15	Balatonalmadi SE	7	1	0	6	6	22	3
16	1908 SZAC Budapest	7	0	2	5	4	22	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Veszprem FC	FC Tatabanya
Bicskei TC	2-3 L	3-1 W
Györi ETO II	3-2 W	1-2 L
MTE 1904	1-1 D	1-0 W
Puskas Academy II	2-1 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Tatabanya (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Veszprem FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Bicskei TC Hungary NB III	1-2	2-3	2	8	L
29/08	Györi ETO II Hungary NB III	1-0	3-2	1	4	W
26/08	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III	2-3	2-4	5	1	L
15/08	MTE 1904 Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
12/08	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	8	6	D
08/08	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	0-3	0-6	1	4	L
25/07	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
24/05	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
17/05	Budaorsi SC Hungary NB III	0-1	1-5	4	3	L
10/05	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	0-1	2-1	7	2	W

FC Tatabanya

LWWLWWDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
30/08	Balatonalmadi SE Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	6	7	W
26/08	Sarisapi BSE Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	3	2	W
15/08	SC Sopron Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	4	7	D
12/08	Bicskei TC Hungary NB III	0-0	3-1	3	3	W
09/08	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	0-0	4-0	7	4	W
26/07	Györi ETO II Hungary NB III	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
24/05	Balatonfuredi FC Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	5	5	W
17/05	MTE 1904 Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	7	7	W
10/05	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB III	0-2	0-4	4	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Veszprem FC vs FC Tatabanya?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Tatabanya win (64%). Probabilities: Veszprem FC 16%, draw 21%, FC Tatabanya 64%.

How many goals are expected in Veszprem FC vs FC Tatabanya?

The model expects 3.32 goals (Veszprem FC 1.05 · FC Tatabanya 2.27), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Veszprem FC vs FC Tatabanya?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.