Football · Poland Ekstraliga Women · 22/08, 12:00
Prediction: Pogon Szczecin (W) vs Slask Wroclaw (W)
Team pages: Pogon Szczecin (W) · Slask Wroclaw (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.46Total
Pogon Szczecin (W)2.38
Slask Wroclaw (W)1.09
1X2
Pogon Szczecin (W)
Draw
Slask Wroclaw (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Pogon Szczecin (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Slask Wroclaw (W)
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pogon Szczecin (W)
5–1
Slask Wroclaw (W)
(6 last)
- Pogon Szczecin (W)1-0Slask Wroclaw (W)
- Slask Wroclaw (W)0-5Pogon Szczecin (W)
- Slask Wroclaw (W)1-2Pogon Szczecin (W)
- Pogon Szczecin (W)6-3Slask Wroclaw (W)
- Pogon Szczecin (W)1-2Slask Wroclaw (W)
- Slask Wroclaw (W)1-3Pogon Szczecin (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pogon Szczecin (W) 1574 · Slask Wroclaw (W) 1427
| Pogon Szczecin (W) | Draw | Slask Wroclaw (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 20% | 15% |
| Market | 65% | 20% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pogon Szczecin (W) (rating 1574 vs 1427).
- H2H favours Pogon Szczecin (W): 5-0-1.
- High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pogon Szczecin (W) | Slask Wroclaw (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.1 / 7.9 | 1.9 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pogon Szczecin (W) 5–0–1 Slask Wroclaw (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Pogon Szczecin (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Slask Wroclaw (W) |
| 08/11/25 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Slask Wroclaw (W) | 0-5 HT 0-1 | Pogon Szczecin (W) |
| 11/05/25 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Slask Wroclaw (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Pogon Szczecin (W) |
| 03/11/24 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Pogon Szczecin (W) | 6-3 HT 2-1 | Slask Wroclaw (W) |
| 16/03/24 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Pogon Szczecin (W) | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Slask Wroclaw (W) |
| 02/09/23 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Slask Wroclaw (W) | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Pogon Szczecin (W) |
Standings · Poland Ekstraliga Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Leczna (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | GKS Katowice (W) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Pogon Szczecin (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Legia Warsaw (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 6 |
| 5 | AZS UJ Krakow (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | APLG Gdansk (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 8 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
| 9 | UKS SMS Lodz (W) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 |
| 10 | Slask Wroclaw (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 11 | Sleza Wroclaw (W) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pogon Szczecin (W) | Slask Wroclaw (W) |
|---|---|---|
| AZS UJ Krakow (W) | 4-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Pogon Tczew (W) | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| GKS Katowice (W) | 2-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Lech Poznan UAM (W) | 3-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Pogon Szczecin (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pogon Szczecin (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | AZS UJ Krakow (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 08/08 | Gornik Leczna (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Legia Warsaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Slask Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 23/05 | Gornik Leczna (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Pogon Tczew (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | GKS Katowice (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 21/04 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) Poland Cup Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 04/04 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
Slask Wroclaw (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | APLG Gdansk (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | UKS SMS Lodz (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | AZS UJ Krakow (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Sparta Prague (W) Women’s Friendly |
0-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Pogon Szczecin (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Pogon Tczew (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | GKS Katowice (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
2-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | AZS UJ Krakow (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pogon Szczecin (W) vs Slask Wroclaw (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pogon Szczecin (W) win (65%). Probabilities: Pogon Szczecin (W) 65%, draw 20%, Slask Wroclaw (W) 15%.
How many goals are expected in Pogon Szczecin (W) vs Slask Wroclaw (W)?
The model expects 3.46 goals (Pogon Szczecin (W) 2.38 · Slask Wroclaw (W) 1.09), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Pogon Szczecin (W) vs Slask Wroclaw (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.