Prediction: Lech Poznan UAM (W) vs Gornik Leczna (W)

Team pages: Lech Poznan UAM (W) · Gornik Leczna (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.72Total
Lech Poznan UAM (W)0.87
Gornik Leczna (W)2.84
1X2
8% 15% 77%
Lech Poznan UAM (W) Draw Gornik Leczna (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Lech Poznan UAM (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
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Gornik Leczna (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
Lech Poznan UAM (W) 1–2 Gornik Leczna (W) (3 last)
  • Lech Poznan UAM (W)1-3Gornik Leczna (W)
  • Lech Poznan UAM (W)1-0Gornik Leczna (W)
  • Gornik Leczna (W)4-0Lech Poznan UAM (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lech Poznan UAM (W) 1443 · Gornik Leczna (W) 1552
Lech Poznan UAM (W)DrawGornik Leczna (W)
Our model8%15%77%
Market8%14%77%
Estimated total (ours) 3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gornik Leczna (W) (rating 1443 vs 1552).
  • H2H favours Gornik Leczna (W): 2-0-1.
  • High corners: 12 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Lech Poznan UAM (W)Gornik Leczna (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 2.82.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 1.60.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)22/0/78%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 52.9 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.4 / 03.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lech Poznan UAM (W) 102 Gornik Leczna (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Poland Ekstraliga Women
Lech Poznan UAM (W)1-3
HT 0-1
Gornik Leczna (W)
01/04/26
Poland Cup Women
Lech Poznan UAM (W)1-0
HT 0-0
Gornik Leczna (W)
27/09/25
Poland Ekstraliga Women
Gornik Leczna (W)4-0Lech Poznan UAM (W)

Standings · Poland Ekstraliga Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Gornik Leczna (W) 3300 1029
2 GKS Katowice (W) 3210 1147
3 Pogon Szczecin (W) 3201 756
4 Legia Warsaw (W) 3201 966
5 AZS UJ Krakow (W) 3201 566
6 Czarni Sosnowiec (W) 2110 834
7 APLG Gdansk (W) 3102 353
8 Lech Poznan UAM (W) 3102 593
9 UKS SMS Lodz (W) 3021 162
10 Slask Wroclaw (W) 3012 351
11 Sleza Wroclaw (W) 2011 021
12 Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) 3003 3120

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLech Poznan UAM (W)Gornik Leczna (W)
GKS Katowice (W) 0-5 L 2-1 W
Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) 2-1 W 5-1 W
APLG Gdansk (W) 1-2 L 2-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Gornik Leczna (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lech Poznan UAM (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Legia Warsaw (W)
Poland Ekstraliga Women
1-3 3-4 52 L
08/08 GKS Katowice (W)
Poland Ekstraliga Women
0-2 0-5 61 L
01/08 Sleza Wroclaw (W)
Poland Ekstraliga Women
2-0 W
30/05 Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)
Poland Ekstraliga Women
1-0 2-1 14 W
24/05 APLG Gdansk (W)
Poland Ekstraliga Women
0-1 1-2 00 L
20/05 GKS Katowice (W)
Poland Ekstraliga Women
1-2 1-4 53 L
09/05 UKS SMS Lodz (W)
Poland Ekstraliga Women
1-0 1-1 43 D
02/05 Slask Wroclaw (W)
Poland Ekstraliga Women
0-2 3-3 62 D
25/04 Gornik Leczna (W)
Poland Ekstraliga Women
0-1 1-3 66 L
21/04 GKS Katowice (W)
Poland Cup Women
0-3 0-5 121 L

Gornik Leczna (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)
Poland Ekstraliga Women
3-1 5-1 43 W
08/08 Pogon Szczecin (W)
Poland Ekstraliga Women
0-0 3-1 W
02/08 APLG Gdansk (W)
Poland Ekstraliga Women
0-0 2-0 71 W
31/05 Pogon Tczew (W)
Poland Ekstraliga Women
4-0 5-0 72 W
23/05 Pogon Szczecin (W)
Poland Ekstraliga Women
0-2 0-3 L
10/05 Czarni Sosnowiec (W)
Poland Ekstraliga Women
0-2 1-4 104 L
02/05 GKS Katowice (W)
Poland Ekstraliga Women
1-0 2-1 86 W
25/04 Lech Poznan UAM (W)
Poland Ekstraliga Women
1-0 3-1 56 W
04/04 AZS UJ Krakow (W)
Poland Ekstraliga Women
0-0 0-1 81 L
01/04 Lech Poznan UAM (W)
Poland Cup Women
0-0 0-1 73 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lech Poznan UAM (W) vs Gornik Leczna (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gornik Leczna (W) win (77%). Probabilities: Lech Poznan UAM (W) 8%, draw 15%, Gornik Leczna (W) 77%.

How many goals are expected in Lech Poznan UAM (W) vs Gornik Leczna (W)?

The model expects 3.72 goals (Lech Poznan UAM (W) 0.87 · Gornik Leczna (W) 2.84), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Lech Poznan UAM (W) vs Gornik Leczna (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.