Football · Poland Ekstraliga Women · 08/08, 12:00
Prediction: Lech Poznan UAM (W) vs GKS Katowice (W)
Team pages: GKS Katowice (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.48Total
Lech Poznan UAM (W)1.04
GKS Katowice (W)2.44
1X2
Lech Poznan UAM (W)
Draw
GKS Katowice (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Lech Poznan UAM (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
GKS Katowice (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lech Poznan UAM (W)
0–1–2
GKS Katowice (W)
(3 last)
- Lech Poznan UAM (W)1-4GKS Katowice (W)
- Lech Poznan UAM (W)0-5GKS Katowice (W)
- GKS Katowice (W)1-1Lech Poznan UAM (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lech Poznan UAM (W) 1473 · GKS Katowice (W) 1599
| Lech Poznan UAM (W) | Draw | GKS Katowice (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 19% | 67% |
| Market | 14% | 19% | 67% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.48 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GKS Katowice (W) (rating 1473 vs 1599).
- H2H favours GKS Katowice (W): 2-1-0.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lech Poznan UAM (W) | GKS Katowice (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.2 | 2.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/11/67% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.3 | 3.3 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 2.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lech Poznan UAM (W) 0–1–2 GKS Katowice (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/26 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Lech Poznan UAM (W) | 1-4 HT 1-2 | GKS Katowice (W) |
| 21/04/26 Poland Cup Women | Lech Poznan UAM (W) | 0-5 HT 0-3 | GKS Katowice (W) |
| 21/03/26 Poland Ekstraliga Women | GKS Katowice (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) |
Standings · Poland Ekstraliga Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | GKS Katowice (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Gornik Leczna (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | AZS UJ Krakow (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Pogon Szczecin (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Legia Warsaw (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 7 | Slask Wroclaw (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | APLG Gdansk (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | Sleza Wroclaw (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | UKS SMS Lodz (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lech Poznan UAM (W) | GKS Katowice (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| APLG Gdansk (W) | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| UKS SMS Lodz (W) | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Slask Wroclaw (W) | 3-3 D | 2-1 W |
| Gornik Leczna (W) | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: GKS Katowice (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lech Poznan UAM (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Sleza Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | APLG Gdansk (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 20/05 | GKS Katowice (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | UKS SMS Lodz (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Slask Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Gornik Leczna (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 21/04 | GKS Katowice (W) Poland Cup Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 04/04 | Pogon Szczecin (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 01/04 | Gornik Leczna (W) Poland Cup Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
GKS Katowice (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 15/07 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) Women’s Friendly |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 15/07 | Banik Ostrava (W) Women’s Friendly |
3-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | APLG Gdansk (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | UKS SMS Lodz (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 20/05 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
2-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) Poland Cup Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Slask Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Gornik Leczna (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lech Poznan UAM (W) vs GKS Katowice (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an GKS Katowice (W) win (67%). Probabilities: Lech Poznan UAM (W) 14%, draw 19%, GKS Katowice (W) 67%.
How many goals are expected in Lech Poznan UAM (W) vs GKS Katowice (W)?
The model expects 3.48 goals (Lech Poznan UAM (W) 1.04 · GKS Katowice (W) 2.44), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Lech Poznan UAM (W) vs GKS Katowice (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.