Football · Paraguay Cup · 16/07, 20:30

Prediction: Fulgencio Yegros vs 24 de Setiembre

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.27Total
Fulgencio Yegros1.17
24 de Setiembre2.1
1X2
19% 23% 57%
Fulgencio Yegros Draw 24 de Setiembre
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Fulgencio Yegros 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LLDLDLLWWD
24 de Setiembre 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LWDLLWLDLD
Head-to-head
Fulgencio Yegros 0–1–2 24 de Setiembre (3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fulgencio Yegros 1454 · 24 de Setiembre 1484
Fulgencio YegrosDraw24 de Setiembre
Our model20%23%58%
Market19%24%57%
Estimated total (ours) 3.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours 24 de Setiembre: 2-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Fulgencio Yegros24 de Setiembre
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.51.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.80.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.22.7 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.15.9 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fulgencio Yegros 012 24 de Setiembre

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/11/25
Paraguay Tercera Division
24 de Setiembre2-1
HT 1-0
Fulgencio Yegros
28/07/25
Paraguay Tercera Division
Fulgencio Yegros2-3
HT 0-0
24 de Setiembre
29/05/25
Paraguay Cup
24 de Setiembre3-3
HT 0-0
Fulgencio Yegros

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFulgencio Yegros24 de Setiembre
Club Sport Colombia 0-0 D 0-2 L
Club Olimpia de Ita 0-2 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fulgencio Yegros

LLDLDLLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/06 Club Capitan Figari
Paraguay Primera C
0-0 0-0 55 D
09/06 Club Capitan Figari
Paraguay Cup
2-1 2-1 44 W
22/05 Sport Colonial
Paraguay Primera C
0-0 2-1 76 W
14/11 24 de Setiembre
Paraguay Tercera Division
0-1 1-2 60 L
09/11 Club Dr Benjamin Aceval
Paraguay Tercera Division
0-3 1-5 58 L
02/11 Cristobal Colon JAS
Paraguay Tercera Division
0-1 1-1 36 D
25/10 Silvio Pettirossi
Paraguay Tercera Division
1-0 1-2 34 L
19/10 Club Sport Colombia
Paraguay Tercera Division
0-0 0-0 43 D
15/10 3 de Noviembre
Paraguay Tercera Division
0-1 0-1 07 L
10/10 Club Olimpia de Ita
Paraguay Tercera Division
0-1 0-2 55 L

24 de Setiembre

LWDLLWLDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Atletico Colegiales
Paraguay Tercera Division
1-1 1-1 511 D
08/07 29 de Septiembre FBC
Paraguay Tercera Division
0-2 2-3 36 L
05/07 12 De Octubre San Domingo
Paraguay Tercera Division
1-0 2-2 26 D
27/06 Club Sport Colombia
Paraguay Tercera Division
0-0 0-2 37 L
09/06 12 De Octubre San Domingo
Paraguay Cup
2-0 4-0 W
06/06 12 de Octubre
Paraguay Tercera Division
1-2 2-3 38 L
24/05 Atlantida SC
Paraguay Tercera Division
1-0 1-2 510 L
21/05 Club Olimpia de Ita
Paraguay Division Intermedia
0-1 1-1 53 D
18/05 Club General Martin Ledesma
Paraguay Tercera Division
0-0 2-0 81 W
01/05 CS Limpeno
Paraguay Tercera Division
0-2 2-3 53 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fulgencio Yegros vs 24 de Setiembre?

According to our model, the most likely result is an 24 de Setiembre win (57%). Probabilities: Fulgencio Yegros 19%, draw 23%, 24 de Setiembre 57%.

How many goals are expected in Fulgencio Yegros vs 24 de Setiembre?

The model expects 3.27 goals (Fulgencio Yegros 1.17 · 24 de Setiembre 2.1), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Fulgencio Yegros vs 24 de Setiembre?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.