Football · Paraguay Cup · 14/07, 20:30
Prediction: Cristobal Colon JAS vs 3 de Noviembre
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
Cristobal Colon JAS1.48
3 de Noviembre1.55
1X2
Cristobal Colon JAS
Draw
3 de Noviembre
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Cristobal Colon JAS
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
3 de Noviembre
0-5-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cristobal Colon JAS
3–0
3 de Noviembre
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cristobal Colon JAS 1540 · 3 de Noviembre 1420
| Cristobal Colon JAS | Draw | 3 de Noviembre | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 26% | 38% |
| Market | 35% | 28% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cristobal Colon JAS (rating 1540 vs 1420).
- H2H favours Cristobal Colon JAS: 3-0-0.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cristobal Colon JAS | 3 de Noviembre | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1 | 0.9 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.9 | 2.8 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.4 | 6.1 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cristobal Colon JAS 3–0–0 3 de Noviembre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/25 Paraguay Tercera Division | 3 de Noviembre | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Cristobal Colon JAS |
| 07/06/25 Paraguay Tercera Division | Cristobal Colon JAS | 3-1 HT 1-1 | 3 de Noviembre |
| 11/09/24 Paraguay Tercera Division | Cristobal Colon JAS | 2-0 HT 2-0 | 3 de Noviembre |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cristobal Colon JAS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Sportivo Iteno Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 08/07 | River Plate Asuncion Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 05/07 | CS Limpeno Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 01/07 | 3 de Febrero FBC Paraguay Cup |
3-0 | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Silvio Pettirossi Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 31/05 | Presidente Hayes Paraguay Tercera Division |
2-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 12 | W |
| 20/05 | Club 1 de Marzo Pilar Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Club Sport Colombia Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 29/04 | 29 de Septiembre FBC Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 24/04 | 12 de Octubre Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
3 de Noviembre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 03/07 | Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 28/06 | Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 09/06 | General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 01/06 | Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 20/05 | Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 14/05 | Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cristobal Colon JAS vs 3 de Noviembre?
According to our model, the most likely result is an 3 de Noviembre win (38%). Probabilities: Cristobal Colon JAS 35%, draw 27%, 3 de Noviembre 38%.
How many goals are expected in Cristobal Colon JAS vs 3 de Noviembre?
The model expects 3.04 goals (Cristobal Colon JAS 1.48 · 3 de Noviembre 1.55), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Cristobal Colon JAS vs 3 de Noviembre?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.