Football · Paraguay Cup · 22/07, 23:00
Prediction: Club Sport Colombia vs Guairena FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Club Sport Colombia1.09
Guairena FC1.38
1X2
Club Sport Colombia
Draw
Guairena FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Club Sport Colombia
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Guairena FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club Sport Colombia 1557 · Guairena FC 1503
| Club Sport Colombia | Draw | Guairena FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 29% | 42% |
| Market | 30% | 26% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Sport Colombia (rating 1557 vs 1503).
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Sport Colombia | Guairena FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.6 | 2.9 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.5 | 4.6 / 0.8 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club Sport Colombia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | 29 de Septiembre FBC Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 08/07 | Atlantida SC Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 05/07 | 12 de Octubre Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 01/07 | Club Pilcomayo FBC Paraguay Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | 24 de Setiembre Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | Club Olimpia de Ita Paraguay Tercera Division |
3-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Club General Martin Ledesma Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 24/05 | Sportivo Iteno Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 11/05 | River Plate Asuncion Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | Cristobal Colon JAS Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
Guairena FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 12/07 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/07 | Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 01/07 | Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 8 | L |
| 06/06 | Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 01/06 | 3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 26/05 | General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 20/05 | Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 16/05 | Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 12/05 | Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club Sport Colombia vs Guairena FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Guairena FC win (43%). Probabilities: Club Sport Colombia 29%, draw 28%, Guairena FC 43%.
How many goals are expected in Club Sport Colombia vs Guairena FC?
The model expects 2.47 goals (Club Sport Colombia 1.09 · Guairena FC 1.38), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Club Sport Colombia vs Guairena FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.