Football · Paraguay Cup · 23/07, 20:30
Prediction: Deportivo Capiata vs Sportivo Iteno
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Deportivo Capiata1.97
Sportivo Iteno0.87
1X2
Deportivo Capiata
Draw
Sportivo Iteno
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Capiata
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Sportivo Iteno
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Capiata
0–1–1
Sportivo Iteno
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Capiata 1517 · Sportivo Iteno 1491
| Deportivo Capiata | Draw | Sportivo Iteno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 23% | 15% |
| Market | 62% | 23% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Capiata | Sportivo Iteno | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.5 | 2.1 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 5.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Capiata 0–1–1 Sportivo Iteno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/21 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Sportivo Iteno | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Capiata |
| 18/06/21 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Deportivo Capiata | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Sportivo Iteno |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Capiata
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 14/07 | Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 07/07 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia |
2-1 | 5-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 07/06 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/05 | Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 14/05 | 3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
Sportivo Iteno
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | River Plate Asuncion Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 11/07 | Cristobal Colon JAS Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 08/07 | Club 1 de Marzo Fdm Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 03/07 | Presidente Hayes Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 28/06 | 3 de Febrero FBC Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 06/06 | Atletico Colegiales Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 02/06 | Club General Martin Ledesma Paraguay Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 30/05 | 12 De Octubre San Domingo Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Club Sport Colombia Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 20/05 | 29 de Septiembre FBC Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Capiata vs Sportivo Iteno?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Capiata win (62%). Probabilities: Deportivo Capiata 62%, draw 23%, Sportivo Iteno 15%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Capiata vs Sportivo Iteno?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Deportivo Capiata 1.97 · Sportivo Iteno 0.87), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Capiata vs Sportivo Iteno?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.