Football · Paraguay Cup · 15/07, 20:30
Prediction: Atletico Colegiales vs Fernando de la Mora
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.47Total
Atletico Colegiales1.37
Fernando de la Mora2.1
1X2
Atletico Colegiales
Draw
Fernando de la Mora
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Colegiales
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Fernando de la Mora
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico Colegiales
1–1–4
Fernando de la Mora
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atletico Colegiales 1489 · Fernando de la Mora 1481
| Atletico Colegiales | Draw | Fernando de la Mora | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 23% | 53% |
| Market | 22% | 26% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Fernando de la Mora: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Colegiales | Fernando de la Mora | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 2 | 1.4 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.8 | 2.2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.4 | 5.7 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Colegiales 1–1–4 Fernando de la Mora
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Fernando de la Mora | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Atletico Colegiales |
| 01/07/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Atletico Colegiales | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Fernando de la Mora |
| 24/09/23 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Atletico Colegiales | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Fernando de la Mora |
| 17/06/23 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Fernando de la Mora | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Atletico Colegiales |
| 20/08/22 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Fernando de la Mora | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Atletico Colegiales |
| 14/05/22 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Atletico Colegiales | 1-3 HT 1-3 | Fernando de la Mora |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Colegiales
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | 24 de Setiembre Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 11 | D |
| 08/07 | Club General Martin Ledesma Paraguay Tercera Division |
2-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 05/07 | Atlantida SC Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 02/07 | Club Oriental Asuncion Paraguay Cup |
2-0 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 26/06 | Club Olimpia de Ita Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 11/06 | CS Limpeno Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Sportivo Iteno Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 02/06 | Club General Diaz Paraguay Cup |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Silvio Pettirossi Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 20/05 | River Plate Asuncion Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
Fernando de la Mora
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 03/07 | 3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 27/06 | General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 06/06 | Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 19/05 | Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 04/05 | Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Colegiales vs Fernando de la Mora?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Fernando de la Mora win (53%). Probabilities: Atletico Colegiales 23%, draw 24%, Fernando de la Mora 53%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Colegiales vs Fernando de la Mora?
The model expects 3.47 goals (Atletico Colegiales 1.37 · Fernando de la Mora 2.1), with a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Colegiales vs Fernando de la Mora?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.