Football · Australia Northern NSW Premier League · 25/07, 08:30

Prediction: Maitland FC vs Broadmeadow Magic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

Maitland FC1.41

Broadmeadow Magic1.89

1X2

28% 23% 49%

Maitland FC Draw Broadmeadow Magic

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Maitland FC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Broadmeadow Magic 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Maitland FC 1–1–4 Broadmeadow Magic (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maitland FC 1534 · Broadmeadow Magic 1579

	Maitland FC	Draw	Broadmeadow Magic
Our model	28%	24%	48%
Market	29%	22%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Broadmeadow Magic (rating 1534 vs 1579).
H2H favours Broadmeadow Magic: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Maitland FC	Broadmeadow Magic
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	2.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/11/22%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.1	2.8 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.10

X4.10

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.93

2 (-0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.2

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
01:58 +16’	3.10	4.10	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Maitland FC 1–1–4 Broadmeadow Magic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Broadmeadow Magic	2-2 HT 1-1	Maitland FC
20/07/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Broadmeadow Magic	2-1 HT 1-0	Maitland FC
07/06/25 Australia Cup Qualifying	Maitland FC	0-2 HT 0-1	Broadmeadow Magic
13/07/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Maitland FC	1-4 HT 1-2	Broadmeadow Magic
04/06/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Broadmeadow Magic	2-0 HT 1-0	Maitland FC
02/07/23 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Broadmeadow Magic	0-1 HT 0-1	Maitland FC

Standings · Australia Northern NSW Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Broadmeadow Magic	18	12	4	2	49	22	40
2	Weston Workers FC	19	11	3	5	44	31	36
3	Maitland FC	18	10	3	5	34	28	33
4	Belmont Swansea United SC	18	9	5	4	42	35	32
5	Edgeworth Eagles	17	8	5	4	34	29	29
6	Cooks Hill United	18	7	5	6	36	31	26
7	Lambton Jaffas	19	6	4	9	35	30	22
8	Newcastle Olympic FC	19	5	6	8	38	34	21
9	Valentine Phoenix	18	5	4	9	18	36	19
10	Adamstown Rosebud	18	4	5	9	25	36	17
11	Kahibah FC	18	4	2	12	28	46	14
12	Charlestown Azzurri	18	4	2	12	24	49	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Maitland FC	Broadmeadow Magic
Lambton Jaffas	1-0 W	2-1 W
Adamstown Rosebud	3-1 W	5-1 W
Newcastle Olympic FC	1-0 W	2-1 W
Valentine Phoenix	1-0 W	1-1 D
Belmont Swansea United SC	2-1 W	0-1 L
Weston Workers FC	1-0 W	5-1 W
Edgeworth Eagles	1-3 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 1 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Broadmeadow Magic (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Maitland FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/07	Fremantle City FC Australia Cup	0-0	1-2	4	1	L
18/07	Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
11/07	Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	3-1	4	1	W
21/06	Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
13/06	Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
30/05	Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	2-1	11	5	W
23/05	Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	1-0	8	4	W
15/05	Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-3	1-3	2	2	L
09/05	Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-3	1-3	2	4	L
05/05	Valentine Phoenix Australia Cup Qualifying	–	0-0	–	–	D

Broadmeadow Magic

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	2-1	2-1	5	2	W
28/06	Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	5-1	13	2	W
20/06	Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	0-1	12	3	L
13/06	Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	5-1	5	3	W
06/06	Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	1-1	7	2	D
31/05	Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
17/05	Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League	2-1	3-2	5	4	W
10/05	Charlestown Azzurri Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	5-3	5	3	W
03/05	Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	3-1	4	4	W
24/04	Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	2-2	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maitland FC vs Broadmeadow Magic?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Broadmeadow Magic win (49%). Probabilities: Maitland FC 28%, draw 23%, Broadmeadow Magic 49%.

How many goals are expected in Maitland FC vs Broadmeadow Magic?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Maitland FC 1.41 · Broadmeadow Magic 1.89), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Maitland FC vs Broadmeadow Magic?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.