Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 19/09, 16:00

Prediction: Roltek DOB vs Svoboda Ljubljana

Team pages: Roltek DOB · Svoboda Ljubljana

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.82Total
Roltek DOB2.91
Svoboda Ljubljana0.91
1X2
82% 12% 6%
Roltek DOB Draw Svoboda Ljubljana
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Roltek DOB 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WLLDDDWWLW
Svoboda Ljubljana 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
LLDLWLDLLL
Head-to-head
Roltek DOB 2–1–0 Svoboda Ljubljana (3 last)
  • Svoboda Ljubljana1-3Roltek DOB
  • Roltek DOB2-1Svoboda Ljubljana
  • Svoboda Ljubljana1-1Roltek DOB
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Roltek DOB 1545 · Svoboda Ljubljana 1424
Roltek DOBDrawSvoboda Ljubljana
Our model77%14%8%
Market86%10%4%
Estimated total (ours) 3.82 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roltek DOB (rating 1545 vs 1424).
  • H2H favours Roltek DOB: 2-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Roltek DOBSvoboda Ljubljana
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 1.41.1 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 0.60.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)57/14/29%20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.71.3 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.9 / 0.43.6 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Roltek DOB 210 Svoboda Ljubljana

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Slovenia 3. SNL
Svoboda Ljubljana1-3
HT 0-1
Roltek DOB
11/10/25
Slovenia 3. SNL
Roltek DOB2-1
HT 1-1
Svoboda Ljubljana
08/03/25
Slovenia 3. SNL
Svoboda Ljubljana1-1
HT 0-0
Roltek DOB

Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, West

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 MNK Izola 5500 27415
2 ND Idrija 5410 7213
3 Roltek DOB 5311 11510
4 NK Rudar Trbovlje 5311 9710
5 NK Tolmin 5230 1189
6 NK Skofja Loka 5221 1198
7 NK Sencur 5131 996
8 NK Litija 5122 575
9 NK Ziri 5122 695
10 NK Adria Miren 5113 9114
11 NK IB 1975 Ljubljana 5104 6103
12 NK Fama Vipava 5104 8253
13 NK Sobec Lesce 5032 483
14 Svoboda Ljubljana 5014 5141

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRoltek DOBSvoboda Ljubljana
MNK Izola 0-3 L 2-2 D
NK Skofja Loka 4-0 W 2-1 W
NK Fama Vipava 2-2 D 3-5 L
NK Sobec Lesce 1-2 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Roltek DOB

WLLDDDWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 NK Rudar Trbovlje
Slovenia 3. SNL
2-0 3-1 67 W
05/09 MNK Izola
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-0 0-3 17 L
29/08 NK Ziri
Slovenia 3. SNL
3-0 W
22/08 NK Skofja Loka
Slovenia 3. SNL
2-0 4-0 26 W
15/08 NK Tolmin
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-1 D
24/05 NK Fama Vipava
Slovenia 3. SNL
2-0 2-2 45 D
16/05 NK Rudar Trbovlje
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-2 3-3 1010 D
09/05 NK Sencur
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-1 L
02/05 NK Sobec Lesce
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-2 1-2 43 L
25/04 Svoboda Ljubljana
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-0 3-1 66 W

Svoboda Ljubljana

LLDLWLDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 NK Fama Vipava
Slovenia 3. SNL
3-5 L
05/09 NK Adria Miren
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-4 L
30/08 NK Litija
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-1 0-3 22 L
23/08 NK Sobec Lesce
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-0 1-1 44 D
15/08 ND Idrija
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-0 0-1 14 L
23/05 NK Skofja Loka
Slovenia 3. SNL
2-1 W
16/05 NK IB 1975 Ljubljana
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-1 0-3 64 L
09/05 MNK Izola
Slovenia 3. SNL
2-2 D
02/05 NK Vrhnika
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-5 L
25/04 Roltek DOB
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-1 1-3 16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Roltek DOB vs Svoboda Ljubljana?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Roltek DOB win (82%). Probabilities: Roltek DOB 82%, draw 12%, Svoboda Ljubljana 6%.

How many goals are expected in Roltek DOB vs Svoboda Ljubljana?

The model expects 3.82 goals (Roltek DOB 2.91 · Svoboda Ljubljana 0.91), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Roltek DOB vs Svoboda Ljubljana?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.