Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 26/09, 16:00

Prediction: NK Sobec Lesce vs NK Fama Vipava

Team pages: NK Sobec Lesce · NK Fama Vipava

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.24Total

NK Sobec Lesce1.85

NK Fama Vipava1.39

1X2

48% 25% 28%

NK Sobec Lesce Draw NK Fama Vipava

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Sobec Lesce 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWDDLLDL

NK Fama Vipava 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWDDLLLLWL

Head-to-head

NK Sobec Lesce 1–3–2 NK Fama Vipava (6 last)

NK Fama Vipava1-1NK Sobec Lesce
NK Sobec Lesce0-0NK Fama Vipava
NK Sobec Lesce0-1NK Fama Vipava
NK Fama Vipava1-1NK Sobec Lesce
NK Sobec Lesce1-2NK Fama Vipava
NK Fama Vipava0-1NK Sobec Lesce

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours NK Fama Vipava: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Sobec Lesce	NK Fama Vipava
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.9	1.3 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 1	0 / 1.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	0/0/100%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 4.6	0.5 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	4.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.89

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:54

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.58 → 1.58	Pinn 1.58
X	3.95 → 3.95	Pinn 3.95
2	4.18 → 4.18	Pinn 4.18

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
05:12 +43’	1.58	3.95	4.18

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Sobec Lesce 1–3–2 NK Fama Vipava

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Fama Vipava	1-1	NK Sobec Lesce
27/09/25 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Sobec Lesce	0-0	NK Fama Vipava
11/03/23 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Sobec Lesce	0-1 HT 0-0	NK Fama Vipava
21/08/22 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Fama Vipava	1-1 HT 1-1	NK Sobec Lesce
08/05/22 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Sobec Lesce	1-2 HT 1-1	NK Fama Vipava
17/10/21 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Fama Vipava	0-1 HT 0-1	NK Sobec Lesce

Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MNK Izola	6	6	0	0	28	4	18
2	ND Idrija	6	5	1	0	10	4	16
3	Roltek DOB	6	4	1	1	15	5	13
4	NK Rudar Trbovlje	6	3	1	2	9	10	10
5	NK Tolmin	6	2	3	1	11	9	9
6	NK Sencur	6	2	3	1	12	9	9
7	NK Skofja Loka	6	2	3	1	12	10	9
8	NK Litija	6	2	2	2	8	7	8
9	NK Adria Miren	6	2	1	3	11	11	7
10	NK Ziri	6	1	3	2	7	10	6
11	NK IB 1975 Ljubljana	6	1	0	5	6	13	3
12	NK Fama Vipava	6	1	0	5	10	28	3
13	NK Sobec Lesce	6	0	3	3	4	10	3
14	Svoboda Ljubljana	6	0	1	5	5	18	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Sobec Lesce	NK Fama Vipava
ND Idrija	1-2 L	2-3 L
Svoboda Ljubljana	1-1 D	5-3 W
NK Rudar Trbovlje	0-0 D	2-3 L
MNK Izola	1-2 L	0-11 L
Roltek DOB	2-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: NK Sobec Lesce (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Sobec Lesce

WLLWDDLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	NK Adria Miren Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-2	–	–	L
12/09	NK Litija Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	NK IB 1975 Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-4	–	–	L
29/08	ND Idrija Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	1-2	8	8	L
23/08	Svoboda Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
15/08	NK Rudar Trbovlje Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-0	–	–	D
23/05	NK IB 1975 Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL	2-0	4-1	4	2	W
17/05	MNK Izola Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-2	–	–	L
09/05	NK Vrhnika Slovenia 3. SNL	1-2	1-5	4	4	L
02/05	Roltek DOB Slovenia 3. SNL	2-1	2-1	3	3	W

NK Fama Vipava

LWDDLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	ND Idrija Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-3	–	–	L
12/09	Svoboda Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL	–	5-3	–	–	W
06/09	NK Rudar Trbovlje Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-3	–	–	L
29/08	MNK Izola Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-11	–	–	L
23/08	NK Ziri Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	1-3	1	5	L
15/08	NK Skofja Loka Slovenia 3. SNL	0-2	0-5	2	4	L
24/05	Roltek DOB Slovenia 3. SNL	0-2	2-2	4	5	D
16/05	NK Tolmin Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-0	–	–	D
10/05	NK Rudar Trbovlje Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-0	–	–	W
02/05	ND Idrija Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Sobec Lesce vs NK Fama Vipava?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Sobec Lesce win (48%). Probabilities: NK Sobec Lesce 48%, draw 25%, NK Fama Vipava 28%.

How many goals are expected in NK Sobec Lesce vs NK Fama Vipava?

The model expects 3.24 goals (NK Sobec Lesce 1.85 · NK Fama Vipava 1.39), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Sobec Lesce vs NK Fama Vipava?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.