Football · Australia Queensland Premier League 3 · 22/07, 12:30
Prediction: AC Carina vs Logan Roos FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.57Total
AC Carina3.27
Logan Roos FC1.3
1X2
AC Carina
Draw
Logan Roos FC
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
AC Carina
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Logan Roos FC
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AC Carina
0–1
Logan Roos FC
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AC Carina 1518 · Logan Roos FC 1424
| AC Carina | Draw | Logan Roos FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 75% | 14% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.57 goals · Bet365 line 4.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 84%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AC Carina (rating 1518 vs 1424).
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AC Carina | Logan Roos FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.7 | 1.8 / 3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 1 / 1.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.4 | 1.4 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Carina 0–0–1 Logan Roos FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Australia Queensland Premier League 3 | Logan Roos FC | 3-2 HT 2-1 | AC Carina |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moggill | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 56 | 27 | 42 |
| 2 | Newmarket | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 64 | 24 | 39 |
| 3 | Yeronga Eagles FC | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 62 | 29 | 38 |
| 4 | AC Carina | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 52 | 26 | 33 |
| 5 | Springfield United | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 43 | 38 | 32 |
| 6 | Mount Gravatt Hawks | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 44 | 25 |
| 7 | Ipswich Knights | 21 | 8 | 0 | 13 | 32 | 53 | 24 |
| 8 | North Lakes United | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 41 | 41 | 21 |
| 9 | North Brisbane FC | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 31 | 60 | 21 |
| 10 | University of Queensland | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 40 | 47 | 19 |
| 11 | Logan Roos FC | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 36 | 49 | 19 |
| 12 | North Pine | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 38 | 18 |
| 13 | Redcliffe Dolphins SC | 19 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 32 | 68 | 16 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AC Carina | Logan Roos FC |
|---|---|---|
| Moggill | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Yeronga Eagles FC | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Ipswich Knights | 2-0 W | 4-6 L |
| Springfield United | 1-1 D | 2-4 L |
| North Pine | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Mount Gravatt Hawks | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: AC Carina (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AC Carina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Moggill Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/07 | Yeronga Eagles FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | North Lakes United Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
3-1 | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Ipswich Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | Springfield United Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 26/05 | Caboolture FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | North Pine Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 08/05 | Mount Gravatt Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 11 | 10 | W |
| 05/05 | Mudgeeraba Australia Cup Qualifying |
2-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 24/04 | Moggill Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
Logan Roos FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Mount Gravatt Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 05/07 | Moggill Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | Yeronga Eagles FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 20/06 | Newmarket Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-4 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 09/06 | Ipswich Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
3-5 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | North Brisbane FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | Springfield United Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Redcliffe Dolphins SC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
2-3 | 2-5 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | University of Queensland Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | North Pine Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AC Carina vs Logan Roos FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AC Carina win (75%). Probabilities: AC Carina 75%, draw 14%, Logan Roos FC 11%.
How many goals are expected in AC Carina vs Logan Roos FC?
The model expects 4.57 goals (AC Carina 3.27 · Logan Roos FC 1.3), with a 51% chance of under 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in AC Carina vs Logan Roos FC?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.