Football · Australia Queensland Premier League 3 · 29/07, 11:00

Prediction: Logan Roos FC vs North Lakes United

Team pages: Logan Roos FC · North Lakes United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.37Total

Logan Roos FC2.27

North Lakes United2.1

1X2

43% 21% 37%

Logan Roos FC Draw North Lakes United

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-2

Recent form · 10 last

Logan Roos FC 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

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North Lakes United 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Logan Roos FC 1–0 North Lakes United (1 last)

North Lakes United1-2Logan Roos FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Logan Roos FC 1433 · North Lakes United 1438

	Logan Roos FC	Draw	North Lakes United
Our model	43%	21%	37%
Market	43%	21%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 4.37 goals · Bet365 line 4.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Logan Roos FC	North Lakes United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 3.5	1.4 / 3.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.7	0.7 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.9	1 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.3	0.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X4.33

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 4.252.00

Under 4.251.80

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 4.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
08:57 +5’	2.10	4.33	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Logan Roos FC 1–0–0 North Lakes United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Australia Queensland Premier League 3	North Lakes United	1-2 HT 0-1	Logan Roos FC

Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Newmarket	19	14	3	2	79	24	45
2	Moggill	21	13	4	4	57	28	43
3	Yeronga FC	21	12	2	7	62	30	38
4	AC Carina	17	11	3	3	59	27	36
5	Springfield United	21	9	6	6	44	39	33
6	Ipswich Knights	22	9	0	13	33	53	27
7	Mount Gravatt Hawks	20	7	5	8	35	45	26
8	Logan Roos FC	19	7	1	11	40	58	22
9	North Brisbane FC	21	6	4	11	32	61	22
10	North Lakes United	20	6	3	11	41	56	21
11	University of Queensland	19	4	7	8	42	52	19
12	Redcliffe Dolphins SC	20	6	1	13	37	70	19
13	North Pine	20	5	3	12	23	41	18

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Logan Roos FC	North Lakes United
North Pine	3-2 W	1-2 L
AC Carina	1-7 L	1-6 L
Mount Gravatt Hawks	0-1 L	2-1 W
Newmarket	2-5 L	0-9 L
Ipswich Knights	4-6 L	1-2 L
North Brisbane FC	1-2 L	2-2 D
Springfield United	2-4 L	5-1 W
Redcliffe Dolphins SC	2-5 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 7 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: North Lakes United (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Logan Roos FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	North Pine Australia Queensland Premier League 3	0-1	3-2	9	4	W
22/07	AC Carina Australia Queensland Premier League 3	1-1	1-7	1	4	L
18/07	Mount Gravatt Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League 3	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
05/07	Moggill Australia Queensland Premier League 3	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
28/06	Yeronga Eagles FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3	1-0	1-1	0	8	D
20/06	Newmarket Australia Queensland Premier League 3	0-4	2-5	4	2	L
09/06	Ipswich Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 3	3-5	4-6	3	5	L
07/06	North Brisbane FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
24/05	Springfield United Australia Queensland Premier League 3	1-2	2-4	2	3	L
17/05	Redcliffe Dolphins SC Australia Queensland Premier League 3	2-3	2-5	8	3	L

North Lakes United

WLDWLDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Newmarket Australia Queensland Premier League 3	0-4	0-9	3	1	L
22/07	Newmarket Australia Queensland Premier League 3	0-2	0-6	2	0	L
18/07	Redcliffe Dolphins SC Australia Queensland Premier League 3	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
12/07	Ipswich Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 3	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
04/07	North Brisbane FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
27/06	AC Carina Australia Queensland Premier League 3	1-3	1-6	–	–	L
21/06	Springfield United Australia Queensland Premier League 3	1-1	5-1	–	–	W
09/06	University of Queensland Australia Queensland Premier League 3	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
05/06	North Pine Australia Queensland Premier League 3	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
31/05	Mount Gravatt Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League 3	1-0	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Logan Roos FC vs North Lakes United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Logan Roos FC win (43%). Probabilities: Logan Roos FC 43%, draw 21%, North Lakes United 37%.

How many goals are expected in Logan Roos FC vs North Lakes United?

The model expects 4.37 goals (Logan Roos FC 2.27 · North Lakes United 2.1), with a 52% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Logan Roos FC vs North Lakes United?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.