Football · Nicaragua Apertura · 01/08, 02:00
Prediction: Diriangen vs UNAN Managua
Team pages: Diriangen · UNAN Managua
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.03Total
Diriangen2.07
UNAN Managua0.97
1X2
Diriangen
Draw
UNAN Managua
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Diriangen
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
UNAN Managua
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Diriangen
5–1
UNAN Managua
(6 last)
- UNAN Managua1-2Diriangen
- Diriangen3-1UNAN Managua
- Diriangen2-1UNAN Managua
- UNAN Managua1-4Diriangen
- Diriangen3-0UNAN Managua
- UNAN Managua1-0Diriangen
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diriangen 1585 · UNAN Managua 1453
| Diriangen | Draw | UNAN Managua | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 22% | 16% |
| Market | 65% | 16% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.03 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diriangen (rating 1585 vs 1453).
- H2H favours Diriangen: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Diriangen | UNAN Managua | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 4 | 0.3 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.2 | 4.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Diriangen 5–0–1 UNAN Managua
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/26 Nicaragua Clausura | UNAN Managua | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Diriangen |
| 31/01/26 Nicaragua Clausura | Diriangen | 3-1 HT 2-0 | UNAN Managua |
| 20/10/25 Nicaragua Apertura | Diriangen | 2-1 HT 0-0 | UNAN Managua |
| 27/07/25 Nicaragua Apertura | UNAN Managua | 1-4 HT 0-3 | Diriangen |
| 13/07/25 Nicaragua Cup | Diriangen | 3-0 HT 1-0 | UNAN Managua |
| 09/07/25 Nicaragua Cup | UNAN Managua | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Diriangen |
Standings · Nicaragua Apertura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Managua FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Real Esteli | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Diriangen | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 4 | UNAN Managua | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 5 | HYH Export Sebaco FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Jalapa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | San Marcos FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 8 | CD Walter Ferretti | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 8 | Rancho Santana FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 | Matagalpa FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Diriangen | UNAN Managua |
|---|---|---|
| HYH Export Sebaco FC | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Real Esteli | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Managua FC | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diriangen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Plaza Amador CONCACAF Central American Cup |
3-0 | 4-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 24/07 | CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 12/07 | HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 05/07 | HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Clausura |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 07/05 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Clausura |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Managua FC Nicaragua Clausura |
1-2 | 1-4 | 10 | 5 | L |
UNAN Managua
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Matiguas FC Nicaragua Liga Primera Play-Offs |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 17/05 | Matiguas FC Nicaragua Liga Primera Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Managua FC Nicaragua Clausura |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/04 | Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 13/04 | Real Madriz FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 09/04 | Jalapa Nicaragua Clausura |
1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 19/03 | Managua FC Nicaragua Cup |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diriangen vs UNAN Managua?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Diriangen win (64%). Probabilities: Diriangen 64%, draw 19%, UNAN Managua 17%.
How many goals are expected in Diriangen vs UNAN Managua?
The model expects 3.03 goals (Diriangen 2.07 · UNAN Managua 0.97), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Diriangen vs UNAN Managua?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.