Football · Nicaragua Apertura · 02/08, 01:00
Prediction: Rancho Santana FC vs HYH Export Sebaco FC
Team pages: Rancho Santana FC · HYH Export Sebaco FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
Rancho Santana FC1.37
HYH Export Sebaco FC1.43
1X2
Rancho Santana FC
Draw
HYH Export Sebaco FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Rancho Santana FC
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
HYH Export Sebaco FC
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rancho Santana FC
0–1–5
HYH Export Sebaco FC
(6 last)
- Rancho Santana FC0-3HYH Export Sebaco FC
- HYH Export Sebaco FC3-1Rancho Santana FC
- HYH Export Sebaco FC2-0Rancho Santana FC
- Rancho Santana FC1-2HYH Export Sebaco FC
- Rancho Santana FC1-1HYH Export Sebaco FC
- HYH Export Sebaco FC1-0Rancho Santana FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rancho Santana FC 1442 · HYH Export Sebaco FC 1574
| Rancho Santana FC | Draw | HYH Export Sebaco FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 28% | 38% |
| Market | 36% | 26% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HYH Export Sebaco FC (rating 1442 vs 1574).
- H2H favours HYH Export Sebaco FC: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rancho Santana FC | HYH Export Sebaco FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.6 | 1.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.1 | 2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.2 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rancho Santana FC 0–1–5 HYH Export Sebaco FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/26 Nicaragua Clausura | Rancho Santana FC | 0-3 HT 0-2 | HYH Export Sebaco FC |
| 12/02/26 Nicaragua Clausura | HYH Export Sebaco FC | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Rancho Santana FC |
| 25/10/25 Nicaragua Apertura | HYH Export Sebaco FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Rancho Santana FC |
| 18/08/25 Nicaragua Apertura | Rancho Santana FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | HYH Export Sebaco FC |
| 01/05/25 Nicaragua Clausura | Rancho Santana FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | HYH Export Sebaco FC |
| 23/02/25 Nicaragua Clausura | HYH Export Sebaco FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Rancho Santana FC |
Standings · Nicaragua Apertura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Esteli | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Managua FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Diriangen | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 4 | UNAN Managua | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 5 | HYH Export Sebaco FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Jalapa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | San Marcos FC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 8 | CD Walter Ferretti | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 8 | Rancho Santana FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 | Matagalpa FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rancho Santana FC | HYH Export Sebaco FC |
|---|---|---|
| UNAN Managua | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Real Madriz FC | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rancho Santana FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 19/07 | Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 12/07 | Managua FC Nicaragua Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 06/07 | Managua FC Nicaragua Cup |
0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Real Madriz FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/04 | Jalapa Nicaragua Clausura |
2-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 16/04 | UNAN Managua Nicaragua Clausura |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 13/04 | HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 10/04 | CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 11 | D |
| 20/03 | CD Santo Tomas del Norte Nicaragua Cup |
4-0 | 7-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
HYH Export Sebaco FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 19/07 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Apertura |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | Diriangen Nicaragua Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 05/07 | Diriangen Nicaragua Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | UNAN Managua Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 3-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 20/04 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Clausura |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/04 | Diriangen Nicaragua Clausura |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/04 | Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Clausura |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 09/04 | Real Madriz FC Nicaragua Clausura |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 15/03 | FC Esteli Nicaragua Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rancho Santana FC vs HYH Export Sebaco FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an HYH Export Sebaco FC win (38%). Probabilities: Rancho Santana FC 35%, draw 27%, HYH Export Sebaco FC 38%.
How many goals are expected in Rancho Santana FC vs HYH Export Sebaco FC?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Rancho Santana FC 1.37 · HYH Export Sebaco FC 1.43), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Rancho Santana FC vs HYH Export Sebaco FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.