Football · Nicaragua Apertura · 10/08, 01:00

Prediction: San Marcos FC vs UNAN Managua

Team pages: San Marcos FC · UNAN Managua

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
San Marcos FC1.16
UNAN Managua1.36
1X2
31% 28% 41%
San Marcos FC Draw UNAN Managua
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
San Marcos FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DLWDWWWDDL
UNAN Managua 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LLLDLWWDWD
Head-to-head
San Marcos FC 1–1 UNAN Managua (2 last)
  • UNAN Managua3-2San Marcos FC
  • San Marcos FC2-1UNAN Managua
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Marcos FC 1526 · UNAN Managua 1488
San Marcos FCDrawUNAN Managua
Our model31%29%40%
Market32%26%42%
Estimated total (ours) 2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 12.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

San Marcos FCUNAN Managua
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.91.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.50.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/50/17%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 4.20.5 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.3 / 0.25.9 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · San Marcos FC 101 UNAN Managua

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
02/05/21
Nicaragua Segunda Division
UNAN Managua3-2
HT 1-1
San Marcos FC
28/04/21
Nicaragua Segunda Division
San Marcos FC2-1
HT 1-1
UNAN Managua

Standings · Nicaragua Apertura

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Real Esteli 4310 8210
2 Managua FC 3300 929
3 HYH Export Sebaco FC 3210 517
4 Diriangen 3120 535
5 UNAN Managua 3120 425
6 CD Walter Ferretti 4103 693
7 Jalapa 3102 143
8 San Marcos FC 3021 362
9 Rancho Santana FC 3003 150
10 Matagalpa FC 3003 190

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSan Marcos FCUNAN Managua
Managua FC 1-4 L 1-1 D
HYH Export Sebaco FC 1-1 D 1-3 L
Diriangen 1-1 D 1-1 D
Matiguas FC 1-0 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 1 L 1 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Marcos FC

DLWDWWWDDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Managua FC
Nicaragua Apertura
1-1 1-4 34 L
25/07 HYH Export Sebaco FC
Nicaragua Apertura
1-1 1-1 26 D
18/07 Diriangen
Nicaragua Apertura
0-1 1-1 17 D
10/05 Matiguas FC
Nicaragua Liga de Ascenso
1-0 W
03/05 Matiguas FC
Nicaragua Liga de Ascenso
1-0 1-0 54 W
26/04 Tigres de Chinandega
Nicaragua Liga de Ascenso
0-0 2-0 312 W
19/04 Tigres de Chinandega
Nicaragua Liga de Ascenso
1-1 D
12/04 Pumas Dario FC
Nicaragua Liga de Ascenso
1-0 2-0 116 W
08/04 Pumas Dario FC
Nicaragua Liga de Ascenso
0-1 L
29/03 Tigres de Chinandega
Nicaragua Liga de Ascenso
1-1 D

UNAN Managua

LLLDLWWDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Diriangen
Nicaragua Apertura
0-1 1-1 612 D
28/07 Rancho Santana FC
Nicaragua Apertura
1-0 2-0 15 W
18/07 Real Esteli
Nicaragua Apertura
0-1 1-1 21 D
24/05 Matiguas FC
Nicaragua Liga Primera Play-Offs
0-1 2-1 310 W
17/05 Matiguas FC
Nicaragua Liga Primera Play-Offs
0-0 1-0 W
26/04 HYH Export Sebaco FC
Nicaragua Clausura
0-0 1-3 35 L
19/04 Managua FC
Nicaragua Clausura
1-1 1-1 D
16/04 Rancho Santana FC
Nicaragua Clausura
0-1 0-2 77 L
13/04 Real Madriz FC
Nicaragua Clausura
0-0 0-1 36 L
09/04 Jalapa
Nicaragua Clausura
1-3 2-4 45 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Marcos FC vs UNAN Managua?

According to our model, the most likely result is an UNAN Managua win (41%). Probabilities: San Marcos FC 31%, draw 28%, UNAN Managua 41%.

How many goals are expected in San Marcos FC vs UNAN Managua?

The model expects 2.51 goals (San Marcos FC 1.16 · UNAN Managua 1.36), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in San Marcos FC vs UNAN Managua?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.