Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 08/08, 18:00
Prediction: Umraniyespor vs Mardin 1969
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
Umraniyespor1.25
Mardin 19691.16
1X2
Umraniyespor
Draw
Mardin 1969
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Umraniyespor
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Mardin 1969
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Umraniyespor 1466 · Mardin 1969 1554
| Umraniyespor | Draw | Mardin 1969 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 30% | 33% |
| Market | 38% | 29% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mardin 1969 (rating 1466 vs 1554).
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Umraniyespor | Mardin 1969 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.6 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.7 | 2.3 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 5.8 / 0 |
Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manisa BBSK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Keciorengucu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Antalyaspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bandirmaspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Batman Petrolspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bodrum FK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bursaspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Esenler Erokspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Fatih Karagumruk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 76 Igdir Belediyespor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Istanbulspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Kayserispor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mardin 1969 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Muglaspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Pendikspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Sariyer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Sivasspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Umraniyespor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Vanspor FK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Umraniyespor
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Galatasaray Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-4 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Adana Demirspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 19/04 | Vanspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 13/04 | Amedspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 08/04 | Sakaryaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 03/04 | Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/03 | Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 15/03 | Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 11/03 | Erzurumspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
Mardin 1969
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05 | Mus Spor FC Türkiye 2.Lig Play-offs |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | Kahramanmaras Istiklal Spor Türkiye 2.Lig Play-offs |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 30/04 | Kahramanmaras Istiklal Spor Türkiye 2.Lig Play-offs |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Fethiyespor Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Guzide Gebzespor Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Kahramanmaras Istiklal Spor Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | Bursaspor Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 29/03 | 68 Yeni Aksarayspor Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/03 | Menemen Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 14/03 | Kirklarelispor Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Umraniyespor vs Mardin 1969?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Umraniyespor win (38%). Probabilities: Umraniyespor 38%, draw 30%, Mardin 1969 33%.
How many goals are expected in Umraniyespor vs Mardin 1969?
The model expects 2.41 goals (Umraniyespor 1.25 · Mardin 1969 1.16), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Umraniyespor vs Mardin 1969?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.