Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 16/08, 20:30

Prediction: Mardin 1969 vs Antalyaspor

Team pages: Mardin 1969 · Antalyaspor

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Mardin 19691.1
Antalyaspor1.44
1X2
28% 29% 44%
Mardin 1969 Draw Antalyaspor
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Mardin 1969 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
WWLWWDDDWD
Antalyaspor 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LDWLLLDLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mardin 1969 1544 · Antalyaspor 1470
Mardin 1969DrawAntalyaspor
Our model28%29%44%
Market28%29%44%
Estimated total (ours) 2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mardin 1969 (rating 1544 vs 1470).
  • Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Mardin 1969Antalyaspor
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.61.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.10.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/70/0%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.22.1 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.2 / 06.5 / 0.1

Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Manisa BBSK 2200 626
2 Bursaspor 2200 306
3 Sariyer 2110 314
4 Bandirmaspor 1100 303
5 Kayserispor 1100 203
6 Antalyaspor 1100 433
7 76 Igdir Belediyespor 2101 213
8 Fatih Karagumruk 2101 233
9 Esenler Erokspor 2020 112
10 Batman Petrolspor 1010 221
10 Pendikspor 1010 221
12 Mardin 1969 1010 001
12 Sivasspor 1010 001
14 Umraniyespor 2011 121
15 Bodrum FK 2011 241
16 Istanbulspor 2011 251
17 Keciorengucu 1001 340
18 Boluspor 1001 120
19 Muglaspor 1001 020
20 Vanspor FK 2002 160

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mardin 1969

WWLWWDDDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Umraniyespor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 0-0 63 D
09/05 Mus Spor FC
Türkiye 2.Lig Play-offs
1-0 2-1 24 W
04/05 Kahramanmaras Istiklal Spor
Türkiye 2.Lig Play-offs
0-0 0-0 D
30/04 Kahramanmaras Istiklal Spor
Türkiye 2.Lig Play-offs
0-0 0-0 D
25/04 Fethiyespor
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
0-0 0-0 D
19/04 Guzide Gebzespor
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
2-0 2-1 36 W
12/04 Kahramanmaras Istiklal Spor
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
1-0 2-1 W
04/04 Bursaspor
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
0-0 0-2 38 L
29/03 68 Yeni Aksarayspor
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
0-0 1-0 W
25/03 Menemen
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
1-1 3-1 75 W

Antalyaspor

LDWLLLDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Keciorengucu
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-0 4-3 44 W
17/05 Kocaelispor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 1-0 212 W
09/05 Galatasaray
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 2-4 17 L
03/05 Alanyaspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 0-0 35 D
25/04 Goztepe
Türkiye Super Lig
0-2 0-2 32 L
17/04 Konyaspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 0-2 108 L
10/04 Besiktas
Türkiye Super Lig
1-3 2-4 63 L
05/04 Eyupspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 3-0 811 W
18/03 Istanbul Basaksehir
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 0-0 37 D
13/03 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 1-4 57 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mardin 1969 vs Antalyaspor?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Antalyaspor win (44%). Probabilities: Mardin 1969 28%, draw 29%, Antalyaspor 44%.

How many goals are expected in Mardin 1969 vs Antalyaspor?

The model expects 2.55 goals (Mardin 1969 1.1 · Antalyaspor 1.44), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Mardin 1969 vs Antalyaspor?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.