Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 16/08, 18:00
Prediction: Kayserispor vs Sivasspor
Team pages: Kayserispor · Sivasspor
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Kayserispor1.57
Sivasspor0.91
1X2
Kayserispor
Draw
Sivasspor
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Kayserispor
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Sivasspor
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kayserispor
0–2–4
Sivasspor
(6 last)
- Sivasspor5-2Kayserispor
- Kayserispor1-2Sivasspor
- Sivasspor2-1Kayserispor
- Kayserispor1-3Sivasspor
- Sivasspor2-2Kayserispor
- Sivasspor1-1Kayserispor
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kayserispor 1491 · Sivasspor 1497
| Kayserispor | Draw | Sivasspor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 28% | 21% |
| Market | 52% | 27% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sivasspor: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kayserispor | Sivasspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 6.1 | 2.9 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.3 | 3.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kayserispor 0–2–4 Sivasspor
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Sivasspor | 5-2 HT 3-0 | Kayserispor |
| 17/08/24 Türkiye Super Lig | Kayserispor | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Sivasspor |
| 25/05/24 Türkiye Super Lig | Sivasspor | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Kayserispor |
| 07/01/24 Türkiye Super Lig | Kayserispor | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Sivasspor |
| 04/08/23 Club Friendly List | Sivasspor | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Kayserispor |
| 06/06/23 Türkiye Super Lig | Sivasspor | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Kayserispor |
Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manisa BBSK | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Bursaspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Sariyer | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Bandirmaspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Kayserispor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Antalyaspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | 76 Igdir Belediyespor | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Fatih Karagumruk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Esenler Erokspor | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 10 | Batman Petrolspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Pendikspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Mardin 1969 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Sivasspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 15 | Bodrum FK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Keciorengucu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Boluspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Muglaspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 | Vanspor FK | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kayserispor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Vanspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Konyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Alanyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Eyupspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Caykur Rizespor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 20/04 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK Türkiye Super Lig |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | Kasimpasa Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 19/03 | Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/03 | Samsunspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
Sivasspor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Esenler Erokspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Bandirmaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | 76 Igdir Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Corum Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/04 | Istanbulspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-1 | 1-3 | 17 | 1 | L |
| 09/04 | Boluspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/04 | Esenler Erokspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/03 | Manisa BBSK Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 15/03 | Umraniyespor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 11/03 | Hatayspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kayserispor vs Sivasspor?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kayserispor win (52%). Probabilities: Kayserispor 52%, draw 27%, Sivasspor 21%.
How many goals are expected in Kayserispor vs Sivasspor?
The model expects 2.48 goals (Kayserispor 1.57 · Sivasspor 0.91), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Kayserispor vs Sivasspor?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.