Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 16/08, 20:30

Prediction: Muglaspor vs Bandirmaspor

Team pages: Muglaspor · Bandirmaspor

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.85Total
Muglaspor0.85
Bandirmaspor1.01
1X2
30% 32% 38%
Muglaspor Draw Bandirmaspor
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Muglaspor 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LLLWDWWDDL
Bandirmaspor 4-6-0 (W-D-L)
DDDWDDWDWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Muglaspor 1498 · Bandirmaspor 1558
MuglasporDrawBandirmaspor
Our model28%35%37%
Market31%30%40%
Estimated total (ours) 1.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bandirmaspor (rating 1498 vs 1558).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MuglasporBandirmaspor
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 0.80.9 / 0.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.40.5 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 5.21.6 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.53.4 / 0.3

Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Manisa BBSK 2200 626
2 Bursaspor 2200 306
3 Sariyer 2110 314
4 Bandirmaspor 1100 303
5 Kayserispor 1100 203
6 Antalyaspor 1100 433
7 76 Igdir Belediyespor 2101 213
8 Fatih Karagumruk 2101 233
9 Esenler Erokspor 2020 112
10 Batman Petrolspor 1010 221
10 Pendikspor 1010 221
12 Mardin 1969 1010 001
12 Sivasspor 1010 001
14 Umraniyespor 2011 121
15 Bodrum FK 2011 241
16 Istanbulspor 2011 251
17 Keciorengucu 1001 340
18 Boluspor 1001 120
19 Muglaspor 1001 020
20 Vanspor FK 2002 160

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Muglaspor

LLLWDWWDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Sariyer
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-1 0-2 34 L
10/05 Elazigspor
Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz
0-0 0-0 23 D
04/05 Sanliurfaspor
Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz
0-1 1-1 109 D
30/04 Sanliurfaspor
Türkiye 2.Lig Play-offs
0-0 1-0 24 W
25/04 Kastamonuspor
Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz
1-0 3-0 W
19/04 Sanliurfaspor
Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz
0-0 0-0 D
12/04 Karaman
Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz
2-0 4-0 W
08/04 Karacabey Birlikspor AS
Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz
0-1 0-3 76 L
04/04 Batman Petrolspor
Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz
0-1 0-1 L
29/03 Altinordu
Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz
0-0 0-1 75 L

Bandirmaspor

DDDWDDWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Istanbulspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
2-0 3-0 17 W
02/05 Sivasspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-0 1-0 53 W
26/04 Erzurumspor FK
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 1-1 52 D
19/04 Amedspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 2-0 26 W
11/04 Bodrum FK
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 0-0 42 D
07/04 Sariyer
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 0-0 22 D
03/04 Corum Belediyespor
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-0 1-0 25 W
21/03 Boluspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 0-0 72 D
16/03 76 Igdir Belediyespor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 0-0 54 D
12/03 Esenler Erokspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-1 1-1 04 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Muglaspor vs Bandirmaspor?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bandirmaspor win (38%). Probabilities: Muglaspor 30%, draw 32%, Bandirmaspor 38%.

How many goals are expected in Muglaspor vs Bandirmaspor?

The model expects 1.85 goals (Muglaspor 0.85 · Bandirmaspor 1.01), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Muglaspor vs Bandirmaspor?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.