Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 07/08, 20:30

Prediction: Boluspor vs Manisa BBSK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

Boluspor0.84

Manisa BBSK2.22

1X2

11% 22% 67%

Boluspor Draw Manisa BBSK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

0-2

Recent form · 10 last

Boluspor 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLDLLLWLW

Manisa BBSK 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWWWLW

Head-to-head

Boluspor 4–2 Manisa BBSK (6 last)

Manisa BBSK4-1Boluspor
Boluspor2-0Manisa BBSK
Manisa BBSK0-2Boluspor
Boluspor2-0Manisa BBSK
Manisa BBSK1-0Boluspor
Boluspor1-0Manisa BBSK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Boluspor 1468 · Manisa BBSK 1510

	Boluspor	Draw	Manisa BBSK
Our model	12%	20%	68%
Market	11%	23%	67%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Manisa BBSK (rating 1468 vs 1510).
H2H favours Boluspor: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Boluspor	Manisa BBSK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.7	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.1	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4	2.2 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.4	4.1 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

18.50

X4.00

21.36

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.90

2 (-1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 8.50▲	Bet365 8.50
X	3.25 → 4.00▲	Bet365 4.00
2	2.00 → 1.36▼	Bet365 1.36

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:59 +26’	3.30	3.25	2.00
14:47 +1’	8.50▲	4.00▲	1.36▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Boluspor 4–0–2 Manisa BBSK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/02/26 Türkiye 1 Lig	Manisa BBSK	4-1 HT 1-1	Boluspor
13/09/25 Türkiye 1 Lig	Boluspor	2-0 HT 1-0	Manisa BBSK
21/02/25 Türkiye 1 Lig	Manisa BBSK	0-2 HT 0-1	Boluspor
28/09/24 Türkiye 1 Lig	Boluspor	2-0 HT 0-0	Manisa BBSK
05/05/24 Türkiye 1 Lig	Manisa BBSK	1-0 HT 1-0	Boluspor
21/12/23 Türkiye 1 Lig	Boluspor	1-0 HT 1-0	Manisa BBSK

Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Keciorengucu	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Antalyaspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bandirmaspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Batman Petrolspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bodrum FK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Boluspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bursaspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Esenler Erokspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fatih Karagumruk	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	76 Igdir Belediyespor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Istanbulspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kayserispor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Manisa BBSK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Mardin 1969	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Muglaspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pendikspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sariyer	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sivasspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Umraniyespor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Vanspor FK	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Boluspor	Manisa BBSK
Serikspor	3-1 W	1-0 W
Pendikspor	0-2 L	2-0 W
Adana Demirspor	6-0 W	1-2 L
Erzurumspor FK	0-2 L	1-8 L
Sivasspor	1-2 L	0-1 L
Amedspor	1-6 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Boluspor (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Boluspor

WLLDLLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/05	Serikspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	3-1	8	4	W
26/04	Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-2	2	0	L
19/04	Adana Demirspor Türkiye 1 Lig	2-0	6-0	5	2	W
13/04	Erzurumspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-2	0-2	2	0	L
09/04	Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-2	1-2	3	4	L
05/04	Amedspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-3	1-6	2	4	L
21/03	Bandirmaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
16/03	Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-2	0-2	3	2	L
12/03	Corum Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
08/03	76 Igdir Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	2-0	1	5	W

Manisa BBSK

LWLLLWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/05	Sakaryaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	2-0	5-0	7	4	W
26/04	Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
19/04	Serikspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
12/04	Vanspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
07/04	Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
03/04	Adana Demirspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-1	1-2	8	2	L
21/03	Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
15/03	Amedspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-2	2	8	L
10/03	Sariyer Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	3-0	2	7	W
07/03	Erzurumspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-5	1-8	3	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Boluspor vs Manisa BBSK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Manisa BBSK win (67%). Probabilities: Boluspor 11%, draw 22%, Manisa BBSK 67%.

How many goals are expected in Boluspor vs Manisa BBSK?

The model expects 3.06 goals (Boluspor 0.84 · Manisa BBSK 2.22), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Boluspor vs Manisa BBSK?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.