Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 09/08, 20:30
Prediction: Vanspor FK vs Kayserispor
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
Vanspor FK1.22
Kayserispor1.48
1X2
Vanspor FK
Draw
Kayserispor
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Vanspor FK
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Kayserispor
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vanspor FK
0–2
Kayserispor
(2 last)
- Kayserispor4-0Vanspor FK
- Vanspor FK0-1Kayserispor
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vanspor FK 1477 · Kayserispor 1461
| Vanspor FK | Draw | Kayserispor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 28% | 42% |
| Market | 30% | 28% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Kayserispor: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vanspor FK | Kayserispor | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 0/30/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.8 | 3.5 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 2.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vanspor FK 0–0–2 Kayserispor
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/23 Türkiye Cup | Kayserispor | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Vanspor FK |
| 19/09/17 Türkiye Cup | Vanspor FK | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Kayserispor |
Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manisa BBSK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Keciorengucu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Antalyaspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bandirmaspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Batman Petrolspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bodrum FK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bursaspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Esenler Erokspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Fatih Karagumruk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 76 Igdir Belediyespor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Istanbulspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Kayserispor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mardin 1969 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Muglaspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Pendikspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Sariyer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Sivasspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Umraniyespor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Vanspor FK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vanspor FK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05 | Hatayspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Istanbulspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Umraniyespor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 12/04 | Manisa BBSK Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 08/04 | Serikspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
2-1 | 6-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 04/04 | Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 22/03 | Sariyer Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 15/03 | Sakaryaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 10/03 | Adana Demirspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/03 | Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
Kayserispor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Konyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Alanyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Eyupspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Caykur Rizespor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 20/04 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK Türkiye Super Lig |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | Kasimpasa Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 19/03 | Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/03 | Samsunspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 09/03 | Trabzonspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vanspor FK vs Kayserispor?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Kayserispor win (42%). Probabilities: Vanspor FK 30%, draw 28%, Kayserispor 42%.
How many goals are expected in Vanspor FK vs Kayserispor?
The model expects 2.7 goals (Vanspor FK 1.22 · Kayserispor 1.48), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Vanspor FK vs Kayserispor?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.