Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 09/08, 20:30
Prediction: Bodrum FK vs Bursaspor
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
Bodrum FK0.77
Bursaspor1.52
1X2
Bodrum FK
Draw
Bursaspor
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bodrum FK
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Bursaspor
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bodrum FK 1533 · Bursaspor 1596
| Bodrum FK | Draw | Bursaspor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 28% | 54% |
| Market | 20% | 24% | 56% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bursaspor (rating 1533 vs 1596).
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bodrum FK | Bursaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 2.3 / 0.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.9 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4 | 3.4 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0 |
Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manisa BBSK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Keciorengucu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Antalyaspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bandirmaspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Batman Petrolspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bodrum FK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bursaspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Esenler Erokspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Fatih Karagumruk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 76 Igdir Belediyespor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Istanbulspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Kayserispor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mardin 1969 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Muglaspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Pendikspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Sariyer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Sivasspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Umraniyespor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Vanspor FK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bodrum FK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05 | Corum Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 11/05 | Corum Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 07/05 | Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Sariyer Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Amedspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 19/04 | Erzurumspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | Bandirmaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 07/04 | Corum Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 03/04 | Umraniyespor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 22/03 | Istanbulspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
Bursaspor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Shakhtar Donetsk Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Aliaga Futbol AS Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi |
2-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Somaspor Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi |
1-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 12/04 | Ankara Demirspor Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | Mardin 1969 Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 28/03 | Fethiyespor Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/03 | Guzide Gebzespor Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 14/03 | Kahramanmaras Istiklal Spor Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 08/03 | Mus Spor FC Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/02 | 68 Yeni Aksarayspor Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi |
3-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bodrum FK vs Bursaspor?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bursaspor win (55%). Probabilities: Bodrum FK 19%, draw 26%, Bursaspor 55%.
How many goals are expected in Bodrum FK vs Bursaspor?
The model expects 2.28 goals (Bodrum FK 0.77 · Bursaspor 1.52), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Bodrum FK vs Bursaspor?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.