Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 02/11, 18:00

Prediction: Kayserispor vs Muglaspor

Team pages: Kayserispor · Muglaspor

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Kayserispor2.03
Muglaspor0.8
1X2
65% 22% 13%
Kayserispor Draw Muglaspor
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Kayserispor 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WLDWWWWWDD
Muglaspor 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
DWWDDDDLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kayserispor 1578 · Muglaspor 1543
KayserisporDrawMuglaspor
Our model65%22%13%
Market65%22%13%
Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KayserisporMuglaspor
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 0.91.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.21.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.91.4 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.34.8 / 0.3

Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Bursaspor 12912 261128
2 Kayserispor 12831 26927
3 76 Igdir Belediyespor 12822 17926
4 Batman Petrolspor 12723 252123
5 Mardin 1969 12633 161121
6 Keciorengucu 12552 231520
7 Muglaspor 12462 181418
8 Antalyaspor 12606 181918
9 Bodrum FK 12453 151117
10 Fatih Karagumruk 12444 161516
11 Sariyer 12444 141716
12 Bandirmaspor 12354 171014
13 Umraniyespor 11344 131013
14 Sivasspor 12273 151813
15 Esenler Erokspor 12264 121612
16 Pendikspor 12255 142311
17 Manisa BBSK 12246 192210
18 Vanspor FK 12336 132210
19 Istanbulspor 12129 9315
20 Boluspor 110110 3251

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKayserisporMuglaspor
Manisa BBSK 3-2 W 4-3 W
Istanbulspor 4-0 W 5-0 W
Fatih Karagumruk 1-1 D 1-1 D
Bursaspor 1-2 L 0-3 L
76 Igdir Belediyespor 1-0 W 2-2 D
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Kayserispor (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kayserispor

WLDWWWWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Pendikspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-1 2-2 76 D
18/10 Batman Petrolspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-1 2-2 72 D
14/10 Antalyaspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
3-0 4-0 11 W
10/10 Manisa BBSK
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-0 3-2 68 W
20/09 Mardin 1969
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 1-0 32 W
14/09 Istanbulspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
3-0 4-0 70 W
07/09 Esenler Erokspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
2-0 3-0 18 W
02/09 Fatih Karagumruk
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 1-1 76 D
29/08 Bursaspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-0 1-2 55 L
22/08 76 Igdir Belediyespor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 1-0 –– W

Muglaspor

DWWDDDDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Istanbulspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
3-0 5-0 23 W
19/10 Manisa BBSK
Türkiye 1 Lig
3-2 4-3 56 W
15/10 Bursaspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 0-3 24 L
11/10 Fatih Karagumruk
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-1 1-1 106 D
18/09 76 Igdir Belediyespor
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-1 2-2 66 D
13/09 Sivasspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-1 1-1 102 D
06/09 Vanspor FK
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-1 2-2 07 D
01/09 Umraniyespor
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-0 1-0 17 W
28/08 Boluspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-0 2-0 35 W
22/08 Bodrum FK
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 0-0 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kayserispor vs Muglaspor?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kayserispor win (65%). Probabilities: Kayserispor 65%, draw 22%, Muglaspor 13%.

How many goals are expected in Kayserispor vs Muglaspor?

The model expects 2.83 goals (Kayserispor 2.03 · Muglaspor 0.8), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kayserispor vs Muglaspor?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.