Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 01/11, 11:30

Prediction: Sivasspor vs Boluspor

Team pages: Sivasspor · Boluspor

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

Sivasspor1.88

Boluspor0.92

1X2

60% 23% 18%

Sivasspor Draw Boluspor

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Sivasspor 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DLDWDDWDDL

Boluspor 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLDLLLL

Head-to-head

Sivasspor 3–2 Boluspor (5 last)

Boluspor1-2Sivasspor
Sivasspor1-0Boluspor
Boluspor3-1Sivasspor
Sivasspor3-1Boluspor
Boluspor4-1Sivasspor

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sivasspor 1521 · Boluspor 1363

	Sivasspor	Draw	Boluspor
Our model	59%	24%	17%
Market	60%	22%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sivasspor (rating 1521 vs 1363).
H2H favours Sivasspor: 3-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sivasspor	Boluspor
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.6	0.2 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.1 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 2.9	1.5 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.10

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.88

2 (+1)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 06:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.50▲	Pinn 1.52
X	4.50 → 4.10▼	Pinn 4.25
2	6.50 → 5.00▼	Pinn 5.52 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 7.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:36 +4’	1.36	4.50	6.50
16:36 +6’	1.44▲	4.20▼	5.50▼
06:13 +4’	1.50▲	4.10▼	5.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:16 +2’	1.52	4.25	5.52

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sivasspor 3–0–2 Boluspor

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/04/26 Türkiye 1 Lig	Boluspor	1-2 HT 1-2	Sivasspor
30/11/25 Türkiye 1 Lig	Sivasspor	1-0 HT 1-0	Boluspor
22/07/18 Europe Friendlies	Boluspor	3-1 HT 2-1	Sivasspor
22/01/17 Türkiye 1 Lig	Sivasspor	3-1 HT 0-0	Boluspor
21/08/16 Türkiye 1 Lig	Boluspor	4-1 HT 1-0	Sivasspor

Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bursaspor	12	9	1	2	26	11	28
2	Kayserispor	12	8	3	1	26	9	27
3	76 Igdir Belediyespor	12	8	2	2	17	9	26
4	Batman Petrolspor	12	7	2	3	25	21	23
5	Mardin 1969	12	6	3	3	16	11	21
6	Keciorengucu	12	5	5	2	23	15	20
7	Muglaspor	12	4	6	2	18	14	18
8	Antalyaspor	12	6	0	6	18	19	18
9	Bodrum FK	12	4	5	3	15	11	17
10	Fatih Karagumruk	12	4	4	4	16	15	16
11	Sariyer	12	4	4	4	14	17	16
12	Bandirmaspor	12	3	5	4	17	10	14
13	Umraniyespor	11	3	4	4	13	10	13
14	Sivasspor	12	2	7	3	15	18	13
15	Esenler Erokspor	12	2	6	4	12	16	12
16	Pendikspor	12	2	5	5	14	23	11
17	Manisa BBSK	12	2	4	6	19	22	10
18	Vanspor FK	12	3	3	6	13	22	10
19	Istanbulspor	12	1	2	9	9	31	5
20	Boluspor	11	0	1	10	3	25	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sivasspor	Boluspor
Sariyer	1-1 D	1-2 L
Bandirmaspor	1-1 D	0-6 L
Pendikspor	4-1 W	1-1 D
Keciorengucu	1-1 D	0-2 L
Muglaspor	1-1 D	0-2 L
Antalyaspor	2-1 W	0-1 L
Mardin 1969	2-2 D	0-3 L
Batman Petrolspor	1-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 5 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Sivasspor (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sivasspor

DLDWDDWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Umraniyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	0-4	0	6	L
17/10	Sariyer Türkiye 1 Lig	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
13/10	Bandirmaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
09/10	Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	4-1	5	5	W
19/09	Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
13/09	Muglaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-1	1-1	5	2	D
06/09	Antalyaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-1	2-1	1	5	W
02/09	Mardin 1969 Türkiye 1 Lig	0-2	2-2	2	5	D
29/08	Batman Petrolspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	1-2	1	6	L
24/08	Manisa BBSK Türkiye 1 Lig	2-1	2-2	8	5	D

Boluspor

LLLLLDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Vanspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-3	8	8	L
18/10	76 Igdir Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
10/10	Antalyaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
19/09	Sariyer Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	1-2	0	4	L
12/09	Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
05/09	Bandirmaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-5	0-6	4	3	L
01/09	Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig	0-2	0-2	2	4	L
28/08	Muglaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	0-2	0	5	L
23/08	Mardin 1969 Türkiye 1 Lig	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
17/08	Batman Petrolspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sivasspor vs Boluspor?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sivasspor win (60%). Probabilities: Sivasspor 60%, draw 23%, Boluspor 18%.

How many goals are expected in Sivasspor vs Boluspor?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Sivasspor 1.88 · Boluspor 0.92), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sivasspor vs Boluspor?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.