Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 01/11, 14:00

Prediction: 76 Igdir Belediyespor vs Antalyaspor

Team pages: 76 Igdir Belediyespor · Antalyaspor

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

76 Igdir Belediyespor1.59

Antalyaspor1.21

1X2

45% 27% 28%

76 Igdir Belediyespor Draw Antalyaspor

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

76 Igdir Belediyespor 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWWDWDWW

Antalyaspor 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWWLWL

Head-to-head

76 Igdir Belediyespor 1–0 Antalyaspor (1 last)

76 Igdir Belediyespor6-0Antalyaspor

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · 76 Igdir Belediyespor 1582 · Antalyaspor 1510

	76 Igdir Belediyespor	Draw	Antalyaspor
Our model	45%	27%	28%
Market	45%	28%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours 76 Igdir Belediyespor (rating 1582 vs 1510).
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	76 Igdir Belediyespor	Antalyaspor
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.8	1.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.7	1.9 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.2	3.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.25

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.09
X	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.47 ★
2	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.34

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:17 +25’	2.00	3.25	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:44 +515’	2.07	3.52	3.33
20:34 +40’	2.09▲	3.47▼	3.34▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · 76 Igdir Belediyespor 1–0–0 Antalyaspor

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/02/26 Türkiye Cup	76 Igdir Belediyespor	6-0 HT 4-0	Antalyaspor

Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bursaspor	12	9	1	2	26	11	28
2	Kayserispor	12	8	3	1	26	9	27
3	76 Igdir Belediyespor	12	8	2	2	17	9	26
4	Batman Petrolspor	12	7	2	3	25	21	23
5	Mardin 1969	12	6	3	3	16	11	21
6	Keciorengucu	12	5	5	2	23	15	20
7	Muglaspor	12	4	6	2	18	14	18
8	Antalyaspor	12	6	0	6	18	19	18
9	Bodrum FK	12	4	5	3	15	11	17
10	Fatih Karagumruk	12	4	4	4	16	15	16
11	Sariyer	12	4	4	4	14	17	16
12	Bandirmaspor	12	3	5	4	17	10	14
13	Umraniyespor	11	3	4	4	13	10	13
14	Sivasspor	12	2	7	3	15	18	13
15	Esenler Erokspor	12	2	6	4	12	16	12
16	Pendikspor	12	2	5	5	14	23	11
17	Manisa BBSK	12	2	4	6	19	22	10
18	Vanspor FK	12	3	3	6	13	22	10
19	Istanbulspor	12	1	2	9	9	31	5
20	Boluspor	11	0	1	10	3	25	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	76 Igdir Belediyespor	Antalyaspor
Bandirmaspor	2-1 W	1-0 W
Boluspor	1-0 W	1-0 W
Istanbulspor	2-1 W	2-0 W
Kayserispor	0-1 L	0-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

76 Igdir Belediyespor

LWWWWDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Bandirmaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	2-1	3	8	W
18/10	Boluspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
14/10	Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
10/10	Batman Petrolspor Türkiye 1 Lig	2-1	2-1	3	6	W
18/09	Muglaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-1	2-2	7	6	D
13/09	Mardin 1969 Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
07/09	Istanbulspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
03/09	Manisa BBSK Türkiye 1 Lig	3-1	4-2	7	6	W
30/08	Esenler Erokspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	1-0	7	6	W
22/08	Kayserispor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-1	–	–	L

Antalyaspor

LLWLWWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	1-2	8	0	L
18/10	Istanbulspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	2-0	6	7	W
14/10	Kayserispor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-3	0-4	5	1	L
10/10	Boluspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
20/09	Vanspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	3-0	3	3	W
12/09	Umraniyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	2-1	6	4	W
06/09	Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-1	1-2	8	5	L
01/09	Bandirmaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	1-0	1	6	W
28/08	Sariyer Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	1-2	4	7	L
22/08	Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-2	2-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in 76 Igdir Belediyespor vs Antalyaspor?

According to our model, the most likely result is a 76 Igdir Belediyespor win (45%). Probabilities: 76 Igdir Belediyespor 45%, draw 27%, Antalyaspor 28%.

How many goals are expected in 76 Igdir Belediyespor vs Antalyaspor?

The model expects 2.79 goals (76 Igdir Belediyespor 1.59 · Antalyaspor 1.21), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in 76 Igdir Belediyespor vs Antalyaspor?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.