Prediction: Istanbulspor vs Mardin 1969
Team pages: Istanbulspor · Mardin 1969
| Istanbulspor | Draw | Mardin 1969 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 26% | 50% |
| Market | 24% | 26% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mardin 1969 (rating 1444 vs 1530).
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Istanbulspor | Mardin 1969 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 2.6 | 1.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/30/70% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.9 | 2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0.2 |
Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bursaspor | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 11 | 28 |
| 2 | Kayserispor | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | 76 Igdir Belediyespor | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 26 |
| 4 | Batman Petrolspor | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 23 |
| 5 | Mardin 1969 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 21 |
| 6 | Keciorengucu | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 20 |
| 7 | Muglaspor | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 18 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 18 |
| 9 | Bodrum FK | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 17 |
| 10 | Fatih Karagumruk | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Sariyer | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 16 |
| 12 | Bandirmaspor | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 10 | 14 |
| 13 | Umraniyespor | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 13 |
| 14 | Sivasspor | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 18 | 13 |
| 15 | Esenler Erokspor | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 12 |
| 16 | Pendikspor | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 11 |
| 17 | Manisa BBSK | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 22 | 10 |
| 18 | Vanspor FK | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 10 |
| 19 | Istanbulspor | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 5 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 25 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Istanbulspor | Mardin 1969 |
|---|---|---|
| Esenler Erokspor | 0-1 L | 2-4 L |
| Manisa BBSK | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Kayserispor | 0-4 L | 0-1 L |
| 76 Igdir Belediyespor | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Bursaspor | 0-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Fatih Karagumruk | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Vanspor FK | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Mardin 1969 (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Istanbulspor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Muglaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-3 | 0-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | Antalyaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 14/10 | Batman Petrolspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 10/10 | Esenler Erokspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Manisa BBSK Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 14/09 | Kayserispor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 07/09 | 76 Igdir Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 03/09 | Bursaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 29/08 | Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Vanspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig |
2-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
Mardin 1969
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Manisa BBSK Türkiye 1 Lig |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 19/10 | Esenler Erokspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 15/10 | Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | Bursaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 20/09 | Kayserispor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | 76 Igdir Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 02/09 | Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
2-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Vanspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 23/08 | Boluspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Istanbulspor vs Mardin 1969?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Mardin 1969 win (50%). Probabilities: Istanbulspor 24%, draw 26%, Mardin 1969 50%.
How many goals are expected in Istanbulspor vs Mardin 1969?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Istanbulspor 1.11 · Mardin 1969 1.69), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Istanbulspor vs Mardin 1969?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.