Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 24/10, 12:30
Prediction: Umraniyespor vs Sivasspor
Team pages: Umraniyespor · Sivasspor
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.39Total
Umraniyespor1.14
Sivasspor1.25
1X2
Umraniyespor
Draw
Sivasspor
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Umraniyespor
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Sivasspor
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Umraniyespor
3–2–1
Sivasspor
(6 last)
- Sivasspor1-0Umraniyespor
- Umraniyespor1-0Sivasspor
- Umraniyespor4-1Sivasspor
- Sivasspor2-2Umraniyespor
- Sivasspor0-0Umraniyespor
- Umraniyespor4-1Sivasspor
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sivasspor (rating 1438 vs 1510).
- H2H favours Umraniyespor: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Umraniyespor | Sivasspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.1 | 1.8 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Umraniyespor 3–2–1 Sivasspor
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Türkiye 1 Lig | Sivasspor | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Umraniyespor |
| 01/11/25 Türkiye 1 Lig | Umraniyespor | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sivasspor |
| 07/05/23 Türkiye Super Lig | Umraniyespor | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Sivasspor |
| 12/11/22 Türkiye Super Lig | Sivasspor | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Umraniyespor |
| 18/04/17 Türkiye 1 Lig | Sivasspor | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Umraniyespor |
| 19/11/16 Türkiye 1 Lig | Umraniyespor | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Sivasspor |
Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | 76 Igdir Belediyespor | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Bursaspor | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | Batman Petrolspor | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 20 |
| 5 | Mardin 1969 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | Keciorengucu | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | Sariyer | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 15 |
| 9 | Bandirmaspor | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 14 |
| 10 | Bodrum FK | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 14 |
| 11 | Sivasspor | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
| 12 | Fatih Karagumruk | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| 13 | Muglaspor | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 12 |
| 14 | Manisa BBSK | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 10 |
| 15 | Umraniyespor | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 10 |
| 16 | Pendikspor | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 10 |
| 17 | Esenler Erokspor | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 9 |
| 18 | Vanspor FK | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 7 |
| 19 | Istanbulspor | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 5 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Umraniyespor | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| Sariyer | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Bandirmaspor | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Antalyaspor | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Pendikspor | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| Muglaspor | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Keciorengucu | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Mardin 1969 | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 3 L | 2 W 5 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Sivasspor (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Umraniyespor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Sariyer Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 18/09 | Bandirmaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Antalyaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 01/09 | Muglaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 28/08 | Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Esenler Erokspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | Mardin 1969 Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-4 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | L |
Sivasspor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Sariyer Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 13/10 | Bandirmaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 09/10 | Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Muglaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Antalyaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 02/09 | Mardin 1969 Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Batman Petrolspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 24/08 | Manisa BBSK Türkiye 1 Lig |
2-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 16/08 | Kayserispor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Umraniyespor vs Sivasspor?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sivasspor win (38%). Probabilities: Umraniyespor 32%, draw 30%, Sivasspor 38%.
How many goals are expected in Umraniyespor vs Sivasspor?
The model expects 2.39 goals (Umraniyespor 1.14 · Sivasspor 1.25), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Umraniyespor vs Sivasspor?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.