Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 08/11, 16:30

Prediction: Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor

Team pages: Alanyaspor · Trabzonspor

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.68Total
Alanyaspor0.92
Trabzonspor1.76
1X2
19% 25% 56%
Alanyaspor Draw Trabzonspor
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Alanyaspor 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DWLWDWDLLL
Trabzonspor 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
DWLWLWWWWW
Head-to-head
Alanyaspor 2–2–2 Trabzonspor (6 last)
  • Alanyaspor1-1Trabzonspor
  • Trabzonspor0-1Alanyaspor
  • Trabzonspor1-1Alanyaspor
  • Trabzonspor4-3Alanyaspor
  • Trabzonspor3-0Alanyaspor
  • Alanyaspor2-1Trabzonspor
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alanyaspor 1501 · Trabzonspor 1570
AlanyasporDrawTrabzonspor
Our model18%26%56%
Market19%24%57%
Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Trabzonspor (rating 1501 vs 1570).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AlanyasporTrabzonspor
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.62.4 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.61.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.82.3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 04 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Alanyaspor 2–2–2 Trabzonspor

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/04/26
Türkiye Super Lig
Alanyaspor1-1
HT 0-0
Trabzonspor
17/12/25
Türkiye Cup
Trabzonspor0-1
HT 0-1
Alanyaspor
08/11/25
Türkiye Super Lig
Trabzonspor1-1
HT 1-0
Alanyaspor
27/04/25
Türkiye Super Lig
Trabzonspor4-3
HT 4-2
Alanyaspor
08/01/25
Türkiye Cup
Trabzonspor3-0
HT 0-0
Alanyaspor
30/11/24
Türkiye Super Lig
Alanyaspor2-1
HT 1-1
Trabzonspor

Standings · Türkiye Super Lig

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Galatasaray 10811 231225
2 Amedspor 10721 251123
3 Trabzonspor 10712 24822
4 Kasimpasa 11551 171120
5 Besiktas 10613 201219
6 Kocaelispor 11614 13919
7 Fenerbahce 10514 241016
8 Corum Belediyespor 10514 211616
9 Goztepe 10433 211715
10 Istanbul Basaksehir 10424 171614
11 Erzurumspor FK 10424 91514
12 Alanyaspor 10334 91612
13 Caykur Rizespor 10325 111511
14 Genclerbirligi 10325 121811
15 Konyaspor 11227 6148
16 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 11227 9198
17 Samsunspor 11218 11267
18 Eyupspor 111010 3303

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAlanyasporTrabzonspor
Genclerbirligi 0-5 L 5-0 W
Caykur Rizespor 1-0 W 4-3 W
Besiktas 1-0 W 2-0 W
Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 1-1 D 2-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Trabzonspor (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alanyaspor

DWLWDWDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/11 Genclerbirligi
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 0-5 14 L
23/10 Kocaelispor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-2 1-2 76 L
17/10 Fenerbahce
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 0-3 31 L
10/10 Erzurumspor FK
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 0-0 56 D
19/09 Corum Belediyespor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 2-1 34 W
12/09 Goztepe
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 2-2 94 D
07/09 Caykur Rizespor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 1-0 72 W
30/08 Eyupspor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-1 1-2 24 L
23/08 Besiktas
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 1-0 70 W
15/08 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 1-1 46 D

Trabzonspor

DWLWLWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 2-0 41 W
26/10 Caykur Rizespor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-2 4-3 44 W
19/10 Besiktas
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 2-0 45 W
10/10 Samsunspor
Türkiye Super Lig
3-0 3-0 53 W
19/09 Galatasaray
Türkiye Super Lig
3-0 4-0 16 W
12/09 Konyaspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 0-1 76 L
06/09 Genclerbirligi
Türkiye Super Lig
3-0 5-0 64 W
31/08 Amedspor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-1 1-2 57 L
23/08 Istanbul Basaksehir
Türkiye Super Lig
1-1 2-1 –– W
15/08 Kasimpasa
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 1-1 102 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Trabzonspor win (56%). Probabilities: Alanyaspor 19%, draw 25%, Trabzonspor 56%.

How many goals are expected in Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Alanyaspor 0.92 · Trabzonspor 1.76), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.