Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 08/11, 19:00
Prediction: Besiktas vs Genclerbirligi
Team pages: Besiktas · Genclerbirligi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.58Total
Besiktas2.79
Genclerbirligi0.79
1X2
Besiktas
Draw
Genclerbirligi
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Besiktas
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Genclerbirligi
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Besiktas
4–2
Genclerbirligi
(6 last)
- Genclerbirligi0-2Besiktas
- Besiktas1-2Genclerbirligi
- Genclerbirligi0-3Besiktas
- Besiktas0-1Genclerbirligi
- Genclerbirligi0-3Besiktas
- Besiktas4-1Genclerbirligi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Besiktas 1555 · Genclerbirligi 1465
| Besiktas | Draw | Genclerbirligi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| Market | 79% | 13% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.58 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Besiktas (rating 1555 vs 1465).
- H2H favours Besiktas: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Besiktas | Genclerbirligi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.7 | 2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Besiktas 4–0–2 Genclerbirligi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Türkiye Super Lig | Genclerbirligi | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Besiktas |
| 18/10/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Besiktas | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Genclerbirligi |
| 15/02/21 Türkiye Super Lig | Genclerbirligi | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Besiktas |
| 04/10/20 Türkiye Super Lig | Besiktas | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Genclerbirligi |
| 25/07/20 Türkiye Super Lig | Genclerbirligi | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Besiktas |
| 27/12/19 Türkiye Super Lig | Besiktas | 4-1 HT 0-1 | Genclerbirligi |
Standings · Türkiye Super Lig
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 15 | 28 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 23 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Kasimpasa | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | Besiktas | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 19 |
| 6 | Kocaelispor | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 19 |
| 7 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 17 |
| 8 | Fenerbahce | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 10 | 16 |
| 9 | Corum Belediyespor | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 16 |
| 10 | Goztepe | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 15 |
| 11 | Erzurumspor FK | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 14 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 12 |
| 13 | Caykur Rizespor | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 11 |
| 14 | Genclerbirligi | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 11 |
| 15 | Konyaspor | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 8 |
| 16 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 8 |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 7 |
| 18 | Eyupspor | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 30 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Besiktas | Genclerbirligi |
|---|---|---|
| Kasimpasa | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | 2-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Trabzonspor | 0-2 L | 0-5 L |
| Amedspor | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Erzurumspor FK | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Fenerbahce | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Alanyaspor | 0-1 L | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Besiktas (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Besiktas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Kasimpasa Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 26/10 | Istanbul Basaksehir Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 19/10 | Trabzonspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 11/10 | Kocaelispor Türkiye Super Lig |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Amedspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 14 | L |
| 11/09 | Erzurumspor FK Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 31/08 | Corum Belediyespor Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 6-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Alanyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 16/08 | Eyupspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
Genclerbirligi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Alanyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/10 | Konyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | Galatasaray Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 10/10 | Amedspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 19/09 | Istanbul Basaksehir Türkiye Super Lig |
0-2 | 0-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Kasimpasa Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Trabzonspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-3 | 0-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | Erzurumspor FK Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | Goztepe Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Besiktas vs Genclerbirligi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Besiktas win (78%). Probabilities: Besiktas 78%, draw 14%, Genclerbirligi 8%.
How many goals are expected in Besiktas vs Genclerbirligi?
The model expects 3.58 goals (Besiktas 2.79 · Genclerbirligi 0.79), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Besiktas vs Genclerbirligi?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.