Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 08/11, 14:00

Prediction: Corum Belediyespor vs Fenerbahce

Team pages: Corum Belediyespor · Fenerbahce

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.27Total
Corum Belediyespor1.27
Fenerbahce2
1X2
23% 24% 53%
Corum Belediyespor Draw Fenerbahce
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Corum Belediyespor 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
DLLWWLWWLW
Fenerbahce 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LWWLDWWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Corum Belediyespor 1528 · Fenerbahce 1522
Corum BelediyesporDrawFenerbahce
Our model23%24%53%
Market23%24%53%
Estimated total (ours) 3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Corum BelediyesporFenerbahce
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 1.62.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.71.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.72.3 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.13.5 / 0

Standings · Türkiye Super Lig

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Galatasaray 10811 231225
2 Amedspor 10721 251123
3 Trabzonspor 10712 24822
4 Besiktas 10613 201219
5 Kasimpasa 10451 151117
6 Fenerbahce 10514 241016
7 Corum Belediyespor 10514 211616
8 Kocaelispor 10514 11916
9 Goztepe 10433 211715
10 Istanbul Basaksehir 10424 171614
11 Erzurumspor FK 10424 91514
12 Alanyaspor 10334 91612
13 Caykur Rizespor 10325 111511
14 Genclerbirligi 10325 121811
15 Konyaspor 10226 6138
16 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 10226 9178
17 Samsunspor 10118 10264
18 Eyupspor 10109 3283

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCorum BelediyesporFenerbahce
Goztepe 0-2 L 1-2 L
Caykur Rizespor 2-1 W 3-0 W
Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 3-0 W 0-0 D
Alanyaspor 1-2 L 3-0 W
Samsunspor 5-1 W 2-0 W
Eyupspor 3-0 W 8-0 W
Besiktas 2-6 L 1-2 L
Galatasaray 2-2 D 1-2 L
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 3 L 4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Fenerbahce (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Corum Belediyespor

DLLWWLWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Erzurumspor FK
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 3-1 03 W
25/10 Goztepe
Türkiye Super Lig
0-2 0-2 32 L
16/10 Caykur Rizespor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-1 2-1 24 W
11/10 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 3-0 55 W
19/09 Alanyaspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 1-2 34 L
12/09 Samsunspor
Türkiye Super Lig
3-1 5-1 23 W
06/09 Eyupspor
Türkiye Super Lig
2-0 3-0 83 W
31/08 Besiktas
Türkiye Super Lig
0-2 2-6 65 L
22/08 Kasimpasa
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 0-1 73 L
14/08 Galatasaray
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 2-2 12 D

Fenerbahce

LWWLDWWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Goztepe
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 1-2 56 L
26/10 Galatasaray
Türkiye Super Lig
0-2 1-2 47 L
17/10 Alanyaspor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 3-0 41 W
10/10 Caykur Rizespor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 3-0 50 W
20/09 Eyupspor
Türkiye Super Lig
5-0 8-0 82 W
14/09 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 0-0 67 D
05/09 Besiktas
Türkiye Super Lig
1-1 1-2 27 L
30/08 Samsunspor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 2-0 61 W
22/08 Konyaspor
Türkiye Super Lig
3-1 4-2 73 W
15/08 Genclerbirligi
Türkiye Super Lig
1-1 1-2 121 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Corum Belediyespor vs Fenerbahce?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Fenerbahce win (53%). Probabilities: Corum Belediyespor 23%, draw 24%, Fenerbahce 53%.

How many goals are expected in Corum Belediyespor vs Fenerbahce?

The model expects 3.27 goals (Corum Belediyespor 1.27 · Fenerbahce 2), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Corum Belediyespor vs Fenerbahce?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.