Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 07/11, 17:00

Prediction: Goztepe vs Istanbul Basaksehir

Team pages: Goztepe · Istanbul Basaksehir

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.41Total

Goztepe1.92

Istanbul Basaksehir1.48

1X2

47% 24% 29%

Goztepe Draw Istanbul Basaksehir

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Goztepe 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLLLDDWWWW

Istanbul Basaksehir 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLLWDWLW

Head-to-head

Goztepe 3–3 Istanbul Basaksehir (6 last)

Istanbul Basaksehir2-1Goztepe
Goztepe1-0Istanbul Basaksehir
Goztepe4-1Istanbul Basaksehir
Istanbul Basaksehir4-1Goztepe
Istanbul Basaksehir3-1Goztepe
Istanbul Basaksehir1-2Goztepe

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Goztepe	Istanbul Basaksehir
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.7	1.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.9	2.6 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	3.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 32.03

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:04

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.04 → 2.04	Pinn 2.04
X	3.75 → 3.75	Pinn 3.75
2	3.43 → 3.43	Pinn 3.43

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 4.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:53 +11’	2.04	3.75	3.43

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Goztepe 3–0–3 Istanbul Basaksehir

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Türkiye Super Lig	Istanbul Basaksehir	2-1 HT 1-1	Goztepe
05/10/25 Türkiye Super Lig	Goztepe	1-0 HT 1-0	Istanbul Basaksehir
28/04/25 Türkiye Super Lig	Goztepe	4-1 HT 2-0	Istanbul Basaksehir
30/11/24 Türkiye Super Lig	Istanbul Basaksehir	4-1 HT 4-0	Goztepe
20/12/22 Türkiye Cup	Istanbul Basaksehir	3-1 HT 3-0	Goztepe
22/01/22 Türkiye Super Lig	Istanbul Basaksehir	1-2 HT 0-1	Goztepe

Standings · Türkiye Super Lig

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Galatasaray	10	8	1	1	23	12	25
2	Amedspor	9	6	2	1	20	10	20
3	Trabzonspor	9	6	1	2	22	8	19
4	Besiktas	9	6	0	3	18	10	18
5	Fenerbahce	10	5	1	4	24	10	16
6	Corum Belediyespor	10	5	1	4	21	16	16
7	Kasimpasa	9	4	4	1	13	9	16
8	Kocaelispor	10	5	1	4	11	9	16
9	Goztepe	10	4	3	3	21	17	15
10	Erzurumspor FK	10	4	2	4	9	15	14
11	Alanyaspor	9	3	3	3	9	11	12
12	Istanbul Basaksehir	9	3	2	4	12	14	11
13	Caykur Rizespor	10	3	2	5	11	15	11
14	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK	9	2	2	5	9	15	8
15	Konyaspor	10	2	2	6	6	13	8
16	Genclerbirligi	9	2	2	5	7	18	8
17	Samsunspor	9	1	1	7	8	21	4
18	Eyupspor	9	1	0	8	2	23	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Goztepe	Istanbul Basaksehir
Kocaelispor	2-1 W	2-0 W
Gazisehir Gaziantep FK	2-4 L	2-1 W
Galatasaray	2-3 L	2-3 L
Genclerbirligi	0-1 L	4-0 W
Samsunspor	3-3 D	5-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Istanbul Basaksehir (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Goztepe

DLLLDDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig	0-1	2-1	8	6	W
25/10	Corum Belediyespor Türkiye Super Lig	2-0	2-0	2	2	W
18/10	Kocaelispor Türkiye Super Lig	1-0	2-1	1	4	W
12/10	Eyupspor Türkiye Super Lig	1-0	4-0	7	5	W
20/09	Caykur Rizespor Türkiye Super Lig	1-0	2-2	4	6	D
12/09	Alanyaspor Türkiye Super Lig	1-0	2-2	3	4	D
07/09	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK Türkiye Super Lig	0-4	2-4	8	6	L
29/08	Galatasaray Türkiye Super Lig	1-1	2-3	2	4	L
23/08	Genclerbirligi Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
17/08	Samsunspor Türkiye Super Lig	1-2	3-3	8	4	D

Istanbul Basaksehir

WLDLLWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Samsunspor Türkiye Super Lig	3-1	5-2	8	2	W
26/10	Besiktas Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
18/10	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK Türkiye Super Lig	1-0	2-1	4	8	W
11/10	Konyaspor Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	0-0	5	0	D
19/09	Genclerbirligi Türkiye Super Lig	2-0	4-0	3	3	W
13/09	Amedspor Türkiye Super Lig	0-1	0-5	3	3	L
04/09	Galatasaray Türkiye Super Lig	0-1	2-3	6	6	L
30/08	Kasimpasa Türkiye Super Lig	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
23/08	Trabzonspor Türkiye Super Lig	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
16/08	Kocaelispor Türkiye Super Lig	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Goztepe vs Istanbul Basaksehir?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Goztepe win (47%). Probabilities: Goztepe 47%, draw 24%, Istanbul Basaksehir 29%.

How many goals are expected in Goztepe vs Istanbul Basaksehir?

The model expects 3.41 goals (Goztepe 1.92 · Istanbul Basaksehir 1.48), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Goztepe vs Istanbul Basaksehir?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.