Football · France Division 1 Women · 04/09, 21:00
Prediction: FC Fleury 91 (W) vs Lyon (W)
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.09Total
FC Fleury 91 (W)0.55
Lyon (W)2.55
1X2
FC Fleury 91 (W)
Draw
Lyon (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2 15%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Fleury 91 (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Lyon (W)
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Fleury 91 (W)
0–1–5
Lyon (W)
(6 last)
- FC Fleury 91 (W)0-2Lyon (W)
- Lyon (W)3-0FC Fleury 91 (W)
- Lyon (W)4-0FC Fleury 91 (W)
- FC Fleury 91 (W)2-6Lyon (W)
- Lyon (W)4-0FC Fleury 91 (W)
- Lyon (W)0-0FC Fleury 91 (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Fleury 91 (W) 1466 · Lyon (W) 1614
| FC Fleury 91 (W) | Draw | Lyon (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 5% | 15% | 80% |
| Market | 5% | 10% | 85% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lyon (W) (rating 1466 vs 1614).
- H2H favours Lyon (W): 5-1-0.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Fleury 91 (W) | Lyon (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 3.8 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 1.6 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 80/20/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.5 / 2.3 | 4.4 / 8.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Fleury 91 (W) 0–1–5 Lyon (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 France Division 1 Women | FC Fleury 91 (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Lyon (W) |
| 20/12/25 France Division 1 Women | Lyon (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | FC Fleury 91 (W) |
| 30/03/25 France Division 1 Women | Lyon (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | FC Fleury 91 (W) |
| 20/09/24 France Division 1 Women | FC Fleury 91 (W) | 2-6 HT 1-3 | Lyon (W) |
| 15/03/24 France Division 1 Women | Lyon (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | FC Fleury 91 (W) |
| 09/03/24 France Cup Women | Lyon (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Fleury 91 (W) |
Standings · France Division 1 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Fleury 91 (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nantes (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Le Havre (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Marseille (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Montpellier (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lyon (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Paris FC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | PSG (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lens (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Strasbourg (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Saint Malo (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Toulouse (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Fleury 91 (W) | Lyon (W) |
|---|---|---|
| St Etienne (W) | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| Strasbourg (W) | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Paris FC (W) | 1-2 L | 5-0 W |
| Nantes (W) | 0-2 L | 8-0 W |
| Dijon (W) | 0-0 D | 4-0 W |
| Montpellier (W) | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Marseille (W) | 1-1 D | 6-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 2 L | 6 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Lyon (W) (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Fleury 91 (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05 | St Etienne (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | PSG (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 22/04 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 28/03 | Paris FC (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 21/03 | Lyon (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 11/03 | Nantes (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 21/02 | Dijon (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 07/02 | Lens (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 31/01 | Montpellier (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 17/01 | Marseille (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
Lyon (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05 | Paris FC (W) France Division 1 Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Nantes (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 8-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Montpellier (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 29/04 | Nantes (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 22/04 | Dijon (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 28/03 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 21/03 | FC Fleury 91 (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 20 | 4 | W |
| 10/03 | Le Havre (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 15 | 1 | W |
| 21/02 | Marseille (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 6-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 08/02 | St Etienne (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Fleury 91 (W) vs Lyon (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Lyon (W) win (83%). Probabilities: FC Fleury 91 (W) 5%, draw 12%, Lyon (W) 83%.
How many goals are expected in FC Fleury 91 (W) vs Lyon (W)?
The model expects 3.09 goals (FC Fleury 91 (W) 0.55 · Lyon (W) 2.55), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Fleury 91 (W) vs Lyon (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.