Football · France Division 1 Women · 12/09, 18:00
Prediction: Marseille (W) vs Lens (W)
Team pages: Marseille (W) · Lens (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Marseille (W)1.72
Lens (W)1.17
1X2
Marseille (W)
Draw
Lens (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Marseille (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Lens (W)
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Marseille (W)
3–1–0
Lens (W)
(4 last)
- Lens (W)0-1Marseille (W)
- Marseille (W)2-0Lens (W)
- Marseille (W)1-0Lens (W)
- Lens (W)2-2Marseille (W)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Marseille (W): 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Marseille (W) | Lens (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2 | 0.8 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.7 | 1.9 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marseille (W) 3–1–0 Lens (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 France Division 1 Women | Lens (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Marseille (W) |
| 21/11/25 France Division 1 Women | Marseille (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Lens (W) |
| 13/04/25 France Division 2 Women | Marseille (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Lens (W) |
| 26/11/23 France Division 2 Women | Lens (W) | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Marseille (W) |
Standings · France Division 1 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Montpellier (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Paris FC (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | PSG (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Strasbourg (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Marseille (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Saint Malo (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 8 | Le Havre (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 | Nantes (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | Lens (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Toulouse (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 | FC Fleury 91 (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Marseille (W) | Lens (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre (W) | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Dijon (W) | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Nantes (W) | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Montpellier (W) | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| PSG (W) | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Paris FC (W) | 0-3 L | 2-6 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marseille (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Le Havre (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 06/05 | Dijon (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Lens (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 22/04 | Nantes (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 28/03 | Montpellier (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 22/03 | Le Havre (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 11/03 | PSG (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 21/02 | Lyon (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-2 | 2-6 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/02 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
3-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 30/01 | Paris FC (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
Lens (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | PSG (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/05 | Paris FC (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-2 | 2-6 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Marseille (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 22/04 | Le Havre (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | St Etienne (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | Dijon (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 11/03 | Montpellier (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 20/02 | PSG (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 07/02 | FC Fleury 91 (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 31/01 | Nantes (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marseille (W) vs Lens (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Marseille (W) win (49%). Probabilities: Marseille (W) 49%, draw 26%, Lens (W) 25%.
How many goals are expected in Marseille (W) vs Lens (W)?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Marseille (W) 1.72 · Lens (W) 1.17), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Marseille (W) vs Lens (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.