Football · France Division 1 Women · 05/09, 21:00

Prediction: Marseille (W) vs Le Havre (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.15Total
Marseille (W)1.96
Le Havre (W)1.2
1X2
53% 25% 21%
Marseille (W) Draw Le Havre (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Marseille (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
DLWLLDLLWL
Le Havre (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LDWLLDLLWD
Head-to-head
Marseille (W) 0–1–1 Le Havre (W) (2 last)
  • Le Havre (W)2-2Marseille (W)
  • Marseille (W)1-2Le Havre (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marseille (W) 1471 · Le Havre (W) 1455
Marseille (W)DrawLe Havre (W)
Our model54%24%22%
Market53%26%21%
Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Marseille (W)Le Havre (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 2.11.2 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.90.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/20/60%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 32.3 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.32.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Marseille (W) 011 Le Havre (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/03/26
France Division 1 Women
Le Havre (W)2-2
HT 0-1
Marseille (W)
19/09/25
France Division 1 Women
Marseille (W)1-2
HT 1-2
Le Havre (W)

Standings · France Division 1 Women

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Lyon (W) 110 713
2 Nantes (W) 000 000
2 Le Havre (W) 000 000
2 Marseille (W) 000 000
2 Montpellier (W) 000 000
2 Paris FC (W) 000 000
2 PSG (W) 000 000
2 Lens (W) 000 000
2 Strasbourg (W) 000 000
2 Saint Malo (W) 000 000
2 Toulouse (W) 000 000
12 FC Fleury 91 (W) 101 170

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMarseille (W)Le Havre (W)
Dijon (W) 0-1 L 1-2 L
Lens (W) 1-0 W 0-1 L
Nantes (W) 0-2 L 3-3 D
Montpellier (W) 1-2 L 2-1 W
PSG (W) 1-2 L 0-4 L
Lyon (W) 2-6 L 0-3 L
Strasbourg (W) 4-2 W 3-2 W
Paris FC (W) 0-3 L 0-4 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 6 L 2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Marseille (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marseille (W)

DLWLLDLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/05 Dijon (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 0-1 05 L
25/04 Lens (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 1-0 35 W
22/04 Nantes (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 0-2 34 L
28/03 Montpellier (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 1-2 45 L
22/03 Le Havre (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-0 2-2 41 D
11/03 PSG (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 1-2 45 L
21/02 Lyon (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-2 2-6 24 L
08/02 Strasbourg (W)
France Division 1 Women
3-1 4-2 67 W
30/01 Paris FC (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-2 0-3 32 L
17/01 FC Fleury 91 (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 1-1 15 D

Le Havre (W)

LDWLLDLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/05 Nantes (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-2 3-3 20 D
25/04 Strasbourg (W)
France Division 1 Women
2-1 3-2 24 W
22/04 Lens (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 0-1 53 L
28/03 Dijon (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-0 1-2 62 L
22/03 Marseille (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 2-2 91 D
10/03 Lyon (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-2 0-3 01 L
22/02 Paris FC (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 0-4 23 L
07/02 Montpellier (W)
France Division 1 Women
2-0 2-1 33 W
31/01 St Etienne (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 1-1 54 D
17/01 PSG (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 0-4 32 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marseille (W) vs Le Havre (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Marseille (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Marseille (W) 53%, draw 25%, Le Havre (W) 21%.

How many goals are expected in Marseille (W) vs Le Havre (W)?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Marseille (W) 1.96 · Le Havre (W) 1.2), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Marseille (W) vs Le Havre (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.