Prediction: Santamarina Tandil vs CA Alvarado
| Santamarina Tandil | Draw | CA Alvarado | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 16% | 33% | 51% |
| Market | 17% | 30% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Alvarado (rating 1447 vs 1542).
- H2H favours CA Alvarado: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Santamarina Tandil | CA Alvarado | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.3 / 1.1 | 1.6 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/70/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.6 | 2.4 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santamarina Tandil 0–0–2 CA Alvarado
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Argentina Torneo A | CA Alvarado | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Santamarina Tandil |
| 17/04/22 Argentina Nacional B | CA Alvarado | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Santamarina Tandil |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Group 4
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA Alvarado | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Kimberley Mar del Plata | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Olimpo B Blanca | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 25 |
| 4 | Club Villa Mitre | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Germinal de Rawson | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| 6 | Sol de Mayo | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 17 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 14 |
| 8 | Santamarina Tandil | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 12 |
| 9 | Club Circulo Deportivo | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Santamarina Tandil | CA Alvarado |
|---|---|---|
| Germinal de Rawson | 0-1 L | 5-0 W |
| Club Villa Mitre | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Club Circulo Deportivo | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Kimberley Mar del Plata | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Sol de Mayo | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Guillermo Brown | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Olimpo B Blanca | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Alvarado (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santamarina Tandil
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
0-3 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
CA Alvarado
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
4-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 14/06 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 07/06 | Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 31/05 | Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
3-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 26/04 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santamarina Tandil vs CA Alvarado?
According to our model, the most likely result is an CA Alvarado win (52%). Probabilities: Santamarina Tandil 16%, draw 31%, CA Alvarado 52%.
How many goals are expected in Santamarina Tandil vs CA Alvarado?
The model expects 1.74 goals (Santamarina Tandil 0.54 · CA Alvarado 1.2), with a 52% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Santamarina Tandil vs CA Alvarado?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.