Football · Argentina Torneo A · 12/07, 21:00
Prediction: CA Sarmiento de la Banda vs San Martin Formosa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
CA Sarmiento de la Banda1.37
San Martin Formosa0.95
1X2
CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Draw
San Martin Formosa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CA Sarmiento de la Banda
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
San Martin Formosa
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Sarmiento de la Banda
2–2–2
San Martin Formosa
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Sarmiento de la Banda 1541 · San Martin Formosa 1549
| CA Sarmiento de la Banda | Draw | San Martin Formosa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 30% | 25% |
| Market | 45% | 31% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Sarmiento de la Banda | San Martin Formosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 5.7 | 2.6 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 5.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Sarmiento de la Banda 2–2–2 San Martin Formosa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Argentina Torneo A | San Martin Formosa | 4-2 HT 1-1 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda |
| 31/08/25 Argentina Torneo A | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 1-0 HT 0-0 | San Martin Formosa |
| 08/06/25 Argentina Torneo A | San Martin Formosa | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda |
| 06/04/25 Argentina Torneo A | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 1-0 HT 1-0 | San Martin Formosa |
| 11/08/24 Argentina Torneo A | San Martin Formosa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda |
| 30/06/24 Argentina Torneo A | San Martin Formosa | 1-1 HT 0-0 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 | CA Bartolome Mitre | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 6 | 23 |
| 3 | Sol de America de Formosa | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 21 |
| 5 | Juventud Antoniana | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 25 | 19 |
| 7 | Boca Unidos | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 19 | 18 |
| 8 | Tucuman Central | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 16 |
| 9 | Sarmiento de Resistencia | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 12 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | San Martin Formosa |
|---|---|---|
| Defensores Puerto Vilelas | 0-3 L | 3-2 W |
| CA Bartolome Mitre | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Juventud Antoniana | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Sol de America de Formosa | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Sarmiento de Resistencia | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Boca Unidos | 3-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Tucuman Central | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Sarmiento de la Banda (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Sarmiento de la Banda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 07/06 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
San Martin Formosa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 28/06 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 21/06 | Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-3 | 14 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 25/05 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 17/05 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Sarmiento de la Banda vs San Martin Formosa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Sarmiento de la Banda win (45%). Probabilities: CA Sarmiento de la Banda 45%, draw 30%, San Martin Formosa 24%.
How many goals are expected in CA Sarmiento de la Banda vs San Martin Formosa?
The model expects 2.32 goals (CA Sarmiento de la Banda 1.37 · San Martin Formosa 0.95), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Sarmiento de la Banda vs San Martin Formosa?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.