Football · Argentina Torneo A · 13/07, 23:30
Prediction: CA 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Defensores de Belgrano VR
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.26Total
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela1.41
Defensores de Belgrano VR0.85
1X2
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Draw
Defensores de Belgrano VR
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Defensores de Belgrano VR
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
1–3–2
Defensores de Belgrano VR
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 1501 · Defensores de Belgrano VR 1500
| CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | Draw | Defensores de Belgrano VR | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 30% | 21% |
| Market | 49% | 30% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Defensores de Belgrano VR: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | Defensores de Belgrano VR | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.1 | 1.4 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.6 | 4.3 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 1–3–2 Defensores de Belgrano VR
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Argentina Torneo A | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela |
| 18/05/25 Argentina Torneo A | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela |
| 17/03/25 Argentina Torneo A | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Defensores de Belgrano VR |
| 11/08/24 Argentina Torneo A | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 1-1 HT 0-0 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela |
| 02/06/24 Argentina Torneo A | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Defensores de Belgrano VR |
| 07/04/24 Argentina Torneo A | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 2-0 HT 2-0 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Group 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportivo Belgrano | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 29 |
| 2 | CA Douglas Haig | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 14 | 28 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 26 |
| 4 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 25 |
| 5 | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 23 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| 7 | Escobar FC | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 21 |
| 8 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 18 |
| 9 | Gimnasia y Esgrima | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 17 |
| 10 | Club Atlético El Linqueño | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 21 | 16 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | Defensores de Belgrano VR |
|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia y Esgrima | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Club Atlético El Linqueño | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Escobar FC | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Sportivo Las Parejas | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Independiente Chivilcoy | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Sportivo Belgrano | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| CA Douglas Haig | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Defensores de Belgrano VR (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 28/06 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 23/06 | Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 31/05 | Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
Defensores de Belgrano VR
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 27/06 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 11 | W |
| 15/06 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 24/05 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Defensores de Belgrano VR?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA 9 de Julio Rafaela win (49%). Probabilities: CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 49%, draw 30%, Defensores de Belgrano VR 21%.
How many goals are expected in CA 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Defensores de Belgrano VR?
The model expects 2.26 goals (CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 1.41 · Defensores de Belgrano VR 0.85), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CA 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Defensores de Belgrano VR?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.