Football · Argentina Torneo A · 12/07, 21:00
Prediction: CA Bartolome Mitre vs Defensores Puerto Vilelas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
CA Bartolome Mitre1.76
Defensores Puerto Vilelas0.76
1X2
CA Bartolome Mitre
Draw
Defensores Puerto Vilelas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
CA Bartolome Mitre
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Defensores Puerto Vilelas
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Bartolome Mitre
1–0
Defensores Puerto Vilelas
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Bartolome Mitre 1534 · Defensores Puerto Vilelas 1475
| CA Bartolome Mitre | Draw | Defensores Puerto Vilelas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 25% | 15% |
| Market | 60% | 26% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Bartolome Mitre (rating 1534 vs 1475).
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Bartolome Mitre | Defensores Puerto Vilelas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.3 | 1.7 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Bartolome Mitre 1–0–0 Defensores Puerto Vilelas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Argentina Torneo A | Defensores Puerto Vilelas | 1-3 HT 1-1 | CA Bartolome Mitre |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Group 2
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 | CA Bartolome Mitre | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 6 | 23 |
| 3 | Sol de America de Formosa | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 21 |
| 5 | Juventud Antoniana | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 25 | 19 |
| 7 | Boca Unidos | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 19 | 18 |
| 8 | Tucuman Central | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 16 |
| 9 | Sarmiento de Resistencia | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 12 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Bartolome Mitre | Defensores Puerto Vilelas |
|---|---|---|
| CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Juventud Antoniana | 0-0 D | 0-4 L |
| Sol de America de Formosa | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Sarmiento de Resistencia | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Boca Unidos | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Tucuman Central | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| San Martin Formosa | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Bartolome Mitre (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Bartolome Mitre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 20/06 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 06/06 | Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 25/05 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
Defensores Puerto Vilelas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
0-3 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/05 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 10/05 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Bartolome Mitre vs Defensores Puerto Vilelas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Bartolome Mitre win (60%). Probabilities: CA Bartolome Mitre 60%, draw 25%, Defensores Puerto Vilelas 15%.
How many goals are expected in CA Bartolome Mitre vs Defensores Puerto Vilelas?
The model expects 2.52 goals (CA Bartolome Mitre 1.76 · Defensores Puerto Vilelas 0.76), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Bartolome Mitre vs Defensores Puerto Vilelas?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.