Football · Argentina Torneo A · 12/07, 22:00
Prediction: Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy vs Gimnasia y Esgrima
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.71Total
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy1.37
Gimnasia y Esgrima0.34
1X2
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Draw
Gimnasia y Esgrima
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 59%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Gimnasia y Esgrima
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
1–1–1
Gimnasia y Esgrima
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 1523 · Gimnasia y Esgrima 1504
| Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | Draw | Gimnasia y Esgrima | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 29% | 8% |
| Market | 65% | 24% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.71 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | Gimnasia y Esgrima | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.2 | 1.6 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.6 | 4.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 1–1–1 Gimnasia y Esgrima
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Argentina Torneo A | Gimnasia y Esgrima | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy |
| 13/07/25 Argentina Torneo A | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia y Esgrima |
| 11/05/25 Argentina Torneo A | Gimnasia y Esgrima | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportivo Belgrano | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 28 |
| 2 | CA Douglas Haig | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 28 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 25 |
| 4 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 25 |
| 5 | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 23 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 22 |
| 7 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 18 |
| 8 | Escobar FC | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | 18 |
| 9 | Gimnasia y Esgrima | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 16 |
| 10 | Club Atlético El Linqueño | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 13 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | Gimnasia y Esgrima |
|---|---|---|
| Club Atlético El Linqueño | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Escobar FC | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Sportivo Las Parejas | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Independiente Chivilcoy | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Sportivo Belgrano | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| CA Douglas Haig | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Defensores de Belgrano VR | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 20/06 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 23/05 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 03/05 | Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
Gimnasia y Esgrima
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 07/06 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 03/05 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy vs Gimnasia y Esgrima?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy win (64%). Probabilities: Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 64%, draw 26%, Gimnasia y Esgrima 9%.
How many goals are expected in Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy vs Gimnasia y Esgrima?
The model expects 1.71 goals (Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 1.37 · Gimnasia y Esgrima 0.34), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy vs Gimnasia y Esgrima?
The model gives a 59% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.