Football · Argentina Torneo A · 11/07, 20:30
Prediction: Escobar FC vs CA Douglas Haig
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.09Total
Escobar FC1.43
CA Douglas Haig0.66
1X2
Escobar FC
Draw
CA Douglas Haig
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Escobar FC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
CA Douglas Haig
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Escobar FC
0–1
CA Douglas Haig
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Escobar FC 1496 · CA Douglas Haig 1488
| Escobar FC | Draw | CA Douglas Haig | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 30% | 16% |
| Market | 55% | 28% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Escobar FC | CA Douglas Haig | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5 | 2.4 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.4 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Escobar FC 0–0–1 CA Douglas Haig
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Argentina Torneo A | CA Douglas Haig | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Escobar FC |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportivo Belgrano | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 28 |
| 2 | CA Douglas Haig | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 28 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 25 |
| 4 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 25 |
| 5 | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 23 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 22 |
| 7 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 18 |
| 8 | Escobar FC | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | 18 |
| 9 | Gimnasia y Esgrima | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 16 |
| 10 | Club Atlético El Linqueño | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 13 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Escobar FC | CA Douglas Haig |
|---|---|---|
| Defensores de Belgrano VR | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Gimnasia y Esgrima | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Club Atlético El Linqueño | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Sportivo Las Parejas | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Independiente Chivilcoy | 0-0 D | 4-0 W |
| Sportivo Belgrano | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Escobar FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Escobar FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 28/06 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 03/05 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
CA Douglas Haig
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 28/06 | Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Escobar FC vs CA Douglas Haig?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Escobar FC win (55%). Probabilities: Escobar FC 55%, draw 29%, CA Douglas Haig 17%.
How many goals are expected in Escobar FC vs CA Douglas Haig?
The model expects 2.09 goals (Escobar FC 1.43 · CA Douglas Haig 0.66), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Escobar FC vs CA Douglas Haig?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.